why aren't all 35 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Nov 2025
Dawber: London Mayor banned Accenture from contracts after it abandoned DEI
“When Accenture And I'll name them. When Accenture said, right, we're abandoning DEI. Our mayor Sadiq Khan, who was, is obviously, you know, comes from a Pakistani background. His parents came to London as immigrants when and you know, is, is very much reflecti…”
Insight
Chadha: Patriarchy hurts men the most; violence against women is the symptom
“Because if there's anything patriarchy hurts, it's men. We are just the symptoms. We just get, there's just domestic violence and rape and violence of all kinds against women, yes. But who really suffers, who never has an outlet, who never has the strength to …”
Assertion Contradicted
Panigrahi claims Indian clinics are curing Alzheimer's using exosome therapy.
“There are players who do stem cell rejuvenation. They are curing dementia and Alzheimer through exosome therapy or stem cell rejuvenation.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Anderson claims she is confident she will never develop Alzheimer's disease
“I tell people I can confidently say I will never develop Alzheimer's.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chadha: India will become the world's cancer capital within two years
“Mark my words, in the next two years, India is going to be the cancer capital of the world as well.”
Disclosure
Chronologix AI probes suicidal ideation instead of immediately escalating to humans
“With contextual engineering, the difference of, I'm thinking of killing myself, and conversational gets pushed right up. With contextually engineered interpretation, we're going to ask you, when did you first start thinking about killing yourself? Have you cre…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Brown: AI will lead to more lawyers than ever before
“I think that there will be more lawyers than ever before.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Marini: Grindr turnaround team terminated 70% of employees
“We ended up, and we don't normally do this terminating 70% of the employees, because it just, they were C players, and we wanted at least A minus players, if not A players, right?”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ranjan: AI Will Stop Hallucinating Before Hallucination-Fixing Startups Can Launch
“There are companies which I looked at, which said, well, AI hallucinates. So we are going to go do this. And my thinking is, by the time you go do this, AI will stop hallucinating.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2036
Brown predicts as many humanoid robots as dogs and cats within a decade
“In the next decade, I believe that there's going to be as many humanoid robots as there's going to be dogs and cats on this planet.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yang: Quantum computing and large models will achieve indistinguishable consciousness
“I truly believe that specifically the quantum computing based processors and big, large models. Will be indistinguishably conscious.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Venkatachalam: In 20 years all humans will need new jobs
“In 20 years, I'm actually hoping I become an AI chatbot now, meaning I think that AI will be doing things that we can't even imagine all of us will need new jobs.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Johnson: AI Will Destroy Traditional Startup Product-Market Fit Metrics
“I think that that entire conversation will be destroyed. Every investor I've ever talked to since the time I started in investments has talked about, like, do you have the product market fit? Do you have differentiation? Like, what's, how can you gain differen…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaplan: AI Will Function as an Autonomous, Alien Intelligence Within Five Years
“When I go out, you know, five plus years, I realize that this is not really a tool. What's happening is we're having a technology that's more like an intelligent entity. It's more, it's closer to an alien intelligence than it is a tool, and this alien intellig…”
Opinion
Kaplan: Democratic AI Resists Bad Actors Better Than Monolithic Silicon Valley LLMs
“I think that's a much more sort of robust and resistant to bad actor kind of design than having one giant LLM. You don't know how it operates because that's another problem. They're big black boxes and the value system was programmed in by five people at open …”
Opinion
Dr. Shubha Vilas: Clinical psychological therapy is not a long-term solution
“Therapy is not long-term solution. No clinical psychologist will say that therapy is the long-term solution to problems in life.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ahuja: Enterprises will soon operate people-less, AI agent-only GCCs
“And I think the time is not far when you would have, you know, bolt-ons or even GCCs that'll have no people. You can Do it in your backyard. You can do it on your computer, and you know, ah, so I think it's coming.”
Opinion
Dawber: London is the city New York pretends to be
“I think London is the city that New York pretends it is. It is a city where anyone, anyone can make it and anything's possible.”
Opinion
DiAgostaro: Accelerator Demo Days do not work for venture capitalists
“Sitting in a room for hours watching pitches of founders that aren't, that don't fit your thesis is a huge waste of time for VCs. They would much rather be on, you know, on the phone having one-on-one calls with people catching up and hearing about a deal thro…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Devillieres: AI will reduce white-collar jobs tenfold while doubling human output
“And so, in the grand scheme of things, I just think that AI is going to do to white collar, like repetitive intellectual work, what machines did to physical work, which is we'll go 10 weeks less number of jobs, two weeks the output, and people are going to be …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Joseph: Software and AI engineers will be the first roles eliminated
“Now AI has made it so easy for people who has domain knowledge to build software. So the biggest Threat that software engineers and AI engineers created is for themselves. Like, you know, that they are the ones who are going away first in, and, you know, the, …”
Opinion
Wharton: China Subsidizes Cleantech with Free Capital, Land, and Below-Cost Dumping
“Well, the Chinese basically in certain sectors like solar and cars and batteries, they give away free land, free labor, free capital. Sometimes it's slave labor in some cases. So that's not like, that's not free trade. And then even with all that, then they se…”
Disclosure
Heiss: Canceled SAP contract because SAP wanted to sell user data
“We had a contract with SAP, which I canceled because I figured out that they wanted to sell our users data, which is, I said, no, there's no way.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Heiss: MyAutoData will eventually outgrow Meta
“And that's, that is the idea in the long run is to really create this big organization that will outgrow meta at one point in time.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Thomas: Tripling renewables and nuclear cannot meet 2050 global energy demand
“If we could wave a magic wand and triple our output of all of our renewables, And include nuclear in there. Triple all of that. That doesn't get us to 52,000 terawatts. You still need fossil fuel. You still need oil. You still need coal. And in fact, we're goi…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chadha: Countries shielded from war and recession share one trait: female leaders
“We're seeing that in the current geopolitical world, and, ah, I want to say the countries that are so far isolated, not just from economic, ah, flux, but from war, from terrorism, from recession, they have female leaders. When we look at the Scandic countries,…”
Assertion Contradicted
Chadha: South India had only three recorded cancer cases before 1970
“Till the 19 seventies, I think in all of South India, there was like three recorded cases of cancer.”
Opinion
Chadha: Western AI data centers draining Indian water is modern colonization
“Again, the West is doing this. It's a new form of colonization. And we will use water from India to cool off data centers, data that they will use in the West.”
Opinion
Yang: Electrons possess quantum consciousness through wave function collapse
“In my personal, I'm a physicist by training, I believe the electron does have quantum consciousness. Just collapsing the wave and particle is actually is a expression of conscious decision, in my opinion.”
Opinion
Dr. Shubha Vilas: Portraying Bharat as a flirt is pure scriptural distortion
“So if I call Somebody like Bharat, who is called a dharmatma throughout the, you know, scriptures as a flirt. That's not at all modernization. That is absolutely distortion. And there are, you know, very famous authors who are doing that.”
Opinion
Katial: R.D. Burman's music is timeless, while Rafi's was era-bound
“Muhammad Rafi's music was for that time, and R.D. Burman's music is for lifelong.”
Opinion
Banka: Humans cannot save nature; climate action is purely self-preservation
“I don't think we can save nature. Nature doesn't need your input. Nature will figure out its own course. Whatever you're trying to do is for your own selfish reason to save yourself.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rajagopal: Amazon was the first to launch a digital wallet in India
“I think we were the first to you know, put out that wallet in the system in Indian system.”
Disclosure
Girdhar: Privva warned early interview candidates against expecting work-life balance
“Then when you think about bringing on a team, controversially, some of the things that I said to people in the interview process was that if you're looking for a job, this is the wrong place.
If you're looking for work-life balance, this is the wrong place.
Th…”
Disclosure
Garber: Web3 is largely a gimmick and has zero fund investments
“It's not web three where I don't believe in it at all. I'm just a gimmick to some extent, which is what I thought in fund one, which is why there's no web three companies in there. And that's why I've never invested in a web three companies.”