Howard Morgan recounts a guiding quantitative investment heuristic from Renaissance Technologies founder Jim Simons.
Disclosure
Morgan: B Capital Has Paused New Investments in China Due to Geopolitics
“A little bit of presence left in China, Hong Kong and Beijing, but not doing new investing in China right now, geopolitics being what it is”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morgan: Perplexity will be worth a couple hundred billion if successful
“I mean, we invested in perplexity at nine billion, which was kind of crazy in some ways. On the other hand, if it works, it's going to be worth a couple hundred billion.”
Opinion
Morgan: Solo GP funds are unnerving due to lack of governance
“Way too many funds, way too many solo GPs, which is on, on, on I don't know what the right word is, an unnerving trend, because as a, as an investor, because on the other side I have a family office, we're investors in ADVC funds, and we worry about solo funds…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morgan: Relying on secondaries will reduce overall VC industry returns
“It's going to cut off the long tail. And if you look at the Ubers and the Roblox's and so on, it's that long tail where you make the giant returns. And so if you keep squashing it down, then the overall industry returns are going to, are, there's no question t…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Morgan: Agrees With Elon Musk That Earth Will Have Billions of Humanoids
“You know, Elon Musk has said he thinks there'll be billions of humanoids. I agree with him on that. I don't agree with him on a lot of things, but that one I do agree.”
Disclosure
Morgan: BCG Holds No Equity in B Capital but Receives Carried Interest
“BCG does not own any of the firm. They don't make any of the investment decisions, but they do earn a piece of the carry interest in return for providing the various services they provide.”