The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 7 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Degnan predicts Snowflake's enterprise software IPO record will be broken in 2026
“I'm sure someone will break it this year because there's companies that have much more revenue than we did, but the largest IPO software IPO ever and enterprise software IPO ever.”
Chris Degnan Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 13:27 Snowflake’s first sales hire on scaling from $0 to $3.5B | Chris Degnan (Former CRO, Snowflake)
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
Varanasi: Networking industry will move to square-footage pricing within 5-10 years
“I think now the rest of the industry will move there in the next five, 10 years is some scribbles and notebooks of me and Sunil where we came up with this.”
Anil Varanasi Dec 10, 2025 ▶ 16:34 Building Meter for decades, not an exit | Anil Varanasi (Co-founder and CEO)
Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Sparks AI teaches kids early literacy in months without human intervention
“We can take a kid from not knowing how to read to early literacy in like three or four months in about 15 minutes a day with no humans involved. That's never been possible before.”
Sam Chaudhary Sep 3, 2025 ▶ 59:43 Starting an education giant in a “bad market” | ClassDojo’s story | Sam Chaudhary (Co-founder & CEO)
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2034
Virtual AI representatives will not replace human salespeople within ten years
“So I don't think they're going to go away. I mean, people are like, oh, can a virtual rep call you and sell you something? It's like, I'm not going to pick up the phone for what the next 10 years, but certainly make their work much more efficient.”
Eilon Reshef Mar 28, 2024 ▶ 38:39 A masterclass in founder conviction | Eilon Reshef (Co-founder and CPO at Gong)
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Siroker: Thousands of multi-billion-dollar vertical LLM application companies will emerge
“There's whole categories of companies that are going to be cat, you know, Category defining independent successful big public multi-billion dollar companies that are just applications of large language models in a specific domain for a specific user with a gre…”
Dan Siroker Sep 14, 2023 ▶ 42:55 AI Hot Takes and Unusual Twitter Fundraising Strategies with Dan Siroker (Rewind AI)
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2033
Seshan predicts every public company will require carbon accounting in 10 years
“In 10 years, every public company will need to do some level of carbon accounting and have a decarbonization plan to underscore that.”
Tara Seshan Jun 22, 2023 ▶ 31:31 Lessons from Stripe on adding new products | Tara Seshan (Watershed, Stripe)
Assertion Open · timeframe Aug 2025
Asthana: Postman's second open-source GitHub feature request was from a Google engineer
“My second feature request that came through GitHub, and the project was open source, In the beginning was actually, you know, somebody who was at Google and he was like, I'm using this a lot.”
Abhinav Asthana Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 22:40 From Chrome extension to $5B platform | Postman’s journey | Abhinav Asthana (Co-founder & CEO)
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