The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Schillace: Failing early is better than failing late in technology
“Failing on the early side, you at least have a chance to, like, course correct, right? Because if you don't spend all your resources and burn out completely, you can keep going, and maybe the world catches up to you, or maybe you make the world catch up to you…”
Schillace: There is no prize for being pessimistic and right in tech
“There's not really much of a prize for being pessimistic and right about these things. Ok, you get a ribbon. Who cares? The prize is for being optimistic and right.”
Schillace: You cannot short broad technological revolutions
“You can't go short on, like, technical, technological revolution, right? You can't, like, short solar or some crazy shit like that. It tends to be wrong. We tend to figure stuff out over time. You know, at best, you're right for a little while, and eventually …”
Schillace: Many businesses will be disrupted because their models rely on pixel expense
“I think there are lots of businesses out there that don't fully understand that they're predicated on the expense of creating pixels. And so similar disruption is in the works.”
Schillace: Engineers should think with AI models but plan with code
“The easy way to understand this is when I say you should think with the model, but plan with code because the models are, they're stochastic and fuzzy. And so if you want something reliable, you should build kind of a scaffold around it in code, something exec…”
Schillace: High-value LLM applications work like a cryptographic trapdoor
“The things that work well with LLMs have this shape almost like a cryptographic trapdoor. There are like things where it's started work for the human to create the work, but easy for the human to validate the work. Those are the things that tend to have high v…”
Schillace: Waiting for tech to get easier guarantees too much competition
“The mistake people make the most is, you know, they'll be like, well, that's a cool idea, but it's really hard. Let's wait three years till it's easier. When it's easier, there'll be a million people doing it and there's path dependencies in there and stuff li…”
Schillace: Enterprise software de-emphasizes UX once it clears the CIO's checklist
“There's less of an emphasis on end user experience, I think in the enterprise space, because once you're kind of over the line where the CIO says, okay, that's on the checklist of things that your software does, anything above that doesn't really matter very m…”
Schillace: Successful software projects feel slightly out of control
“Most of the successful software projects I've seen Have the same feeling of sort of slightly out of control, but not too much of a disaster as chasing a three year old down a slight incline in a park.”
Schillace: AI chatbots should be managed and edited like documents
“We have this idea that these chatbots should be treated like documents. I say bots or docs a lot. So meaning that they have individual names and you can edit all the pieces of them and you can save them and share them and delete them and all this copy them and…”
Schillace: Incumbents must assume AI blockers get solved and reassess value propositions
“Whatever it is that's in the way of this disrupting your business. Now, like assume that that gets solved. What's your business look like after that gets solved? And then what do you do? What is the thing that your business is about? What value are you deliver…”