why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Musk expects Tesla to hit 20 million annual vehicles with 50% growth
“And Elon Musk's expectations for Tesla are for 50% growth, growth per year. Soon selling twenty million vehicles per year, which necessarily means taking market share away from those other vehicles.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ferris: Urban gas stations will probably not survive EV transition
“Well, I would guess that urban gas stations are probably not gonna survive. Or are going to exist in a much more scaled back form. And the main reason for that is not competition from the pharmacy or from the grocery store, but just from your own garage or fro…”
Assertion Supported
Musk called California lockdowns fascist but stayed silent on Shanghai closures
“Famously, when his California factory was locked down, he called the officials who imposed that fascists and really publicly bristled against it. But there's been a similar lockdown going on in Shanghai at his factory, and he hasn't Pushed back against it at a…”
Opinion
Unlike Jeff Bezos at The Washington Post, Musk courts public controversy
“Bezos, Jeff Bezos bought the Washington Post, but because of that, you don't really have any more insight into how Jeff Bezos feels about the political issues that the Washington Post covers. He's in the background. I'm sure he has his opinions, but he doesn't…”
Assertion Supported
Ferris: Utility Demand Charges Push EV Charging Deeper into the Red
“EV charging isn't something that generally makes anybody money these days, but that demand charge can put it dramatically in the red, and it's something that the whole EV charging industry, with gas stations as a subset, is struggling with how to solve.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ferris: Highway gas stations are primed to survive EV transition
“The place where it is going to be salient is if you're taking a road trip. There's a lot of places in, a lot of places where there is no other place to put A charging station other than the gas station. And so I think you're gonna see that those stations are k…”
Assertion Supported
Ferris: Selling electricity is illegal for non-utility entities in the US
“That it's illegal to sell electricity unless you're the electric utility.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ferris: Gas stations site EV chargers where utility demand charges are low
“Well, right now, the stations are being built by gas stations that are where the demand charges are low.”
Assertion Supported
Ferris: EV charging costs vary up to 6x across Wellington utility borders
“You know, like the, in this town of Wellington, if you go a few blocks north, it costs six times as much to charge. You go a few miles south, it costs four times as much to charge.”
Assertion Supported
Tesla sold 75 percent of US electric vehicles in early 2022
“First three months of the year, Tesla sold an overwhelming 75% Of all the EVs in the country.”
Assertion Supported
Tesla delayed Cybertruck and Roadster to 2023 to prioritize factory ramps
“Tesla said that
It was so, going to be so occupied, ramping up those factories, that it was going to have to put off, ah, two highly anticipated models, the Cybertruck and the Roadster to twenty-twenty-three, in order to deal with the big tasks ahead of it.”