The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 26 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 5 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Supercool Earth extracts more water from clouds than silver iodide
“And what we bring, as opposed to silver iodide, is that we can target more clouds and essentially bring, get more rain than silver iodide can currently today. So we can target more geographies, more warmer clouds, more seasonalities, and then at that same temp…”
Supercool Earth induces precipitation within 30 minutes of delivery
“It's an in and out technology that we're developing where we have the effect, we induce precipitation within zero to 30 minutes of delivery, and then that precipitation goes away.”
Multiple VC-backed startups are scaling geoengineering technologies
“There is a lot, there are many up-and-coming companies within the startup space that are VC-backed, that are exploring these technologies and wanting to bring them to scale.”
Biology cannot solve everything and chemistry often wins
“As much as I love biology, we can't deploy it for every single solution. Chemistry wins a lot.”
Silver iodide does not degrade and harms humans, microbes, and fish
“Whereas silver iodide is a metal, and it does not degrade in the environment. So it, ah, it sticks around, and it's bad for humans, for microbes, and for fish. And it's not something that will go away once you release it down into the environment.”
US federal ban on cloud seeding is highly unlikely
“I think that a blanket federal mandate to ban cloud seeding or weather mod is highly unlikely.”
Investors now refuse to fund biotech without early commercial traction
“So investors now are unwilling to give gobs and gobs of money when you don't have commercial traction or a plan for revenue and what you're going to get that revenue. And they're not necessarily willing to wait years and years for that to happen.”
Supercool Earth demonstrates snowmaking additive in Wisconsin field trial
“We just did a field trial, our very first field trial up in Wisconsin with a snowmaking expert there, and he was able to demonstrate that when you add our product, you get some fluffy snow, whereas if you don't add the product, you get rain, and that was the f…”
Supercool Earth can sell its snowmaking product 20% cheaper than Snomax
“Because of our application rate, we can sell it for 20% cheaper than
Snowmax to drive adoption.”
Supercool Earth targets North American and European ski resorts next season
“No, that's our plan. That's our plan. Nothing would make me happier. Yes, yes, that's I believe that we're positioning ourselves well in order to be able to do that and de-risking the things that we need to de-risk ahead of that.”
Supercool Earth's biological seeding targets warmer clouds than silver iodide
“So our biological can target warmer clouds, which are where the ag fields are, so that we can access ag versus any silver iodide-based cloud seeding.”
Cloud seeding cannot scale to daily use with silver iodide
“We want to scale it like irrigation is used today in agriculture, at least in the U.S., and in order to do that, we want to have an agent that, that degrades in the environment, that goes away in the environment, and cloud seeding can't scale with silver iodid…”
Supercool Earth's formulation contains only protein and no living cells
“One distinction, too, is that our formulation is protein only. It doesn't contain any bacteria or anything or fungal cells in it, and so proteins are made by microbes, and they, in order to persist in the environment, the proteins need the microbes around to b…”
Non-engineered proteins allow EPA TSCA approval in several months
“Because our proteins are not engineered, we can go through EPA, TSCA regulation, and that is relatively quick over several months. Approval process.”
Supercool Earth projects early commercial revenue by next U.S. winter
“We're well on track to be able to make some early revenue. Either in this off season or the next U.S. Winter season.”
Supercool Earth snowmaking protein decomposes within minutes to days
“It's just this protein that when it gets sprayed onto the snow, it freezes and makes ice, and then it gets decomposed. It goes away very quickly within minutes or days in the environment.”
Supercool Earth snowmaking protein is room-temperature stable across seasons
“Whereas our protein, it's a dried protein formulation, and it can, it's stable at room temperature, and it can last season to season.”
Supercool Earth sets up New Zealand ski resort field trials
“We're looking into the southern hemisphere, and specifically at New Zealand, and so we've been Again, I've been calling people, ski resorts operators there in New Zealand, and setting up some trials for us to be able to do some testing there.”
Supercool Earth targets water districts and hydropower before agricultural expansion
“We're also targeting water districts and hydropower, because that makes a lot of sense. That's where a lot of cloud seeding is done in, in the U.S. Today, that is silver iodide based. So we would, there's already existing customers in that space. And then our …”
Cloud seeding industry is shifting to drone delivery systems
“So today, cloud heating is done with generators on the ground and generally with aircraft, but there is a big movement right now to switch up that hardware and use drones instead.”
Around 60 countries conduct cloud seeding, led by China
“Internationally, there's around 60 countries that do some form of cloud seeding. China is the leader, and they've been doing cloud seeding for a very, very long time, but generally speaking, it's not done very much today.”
Nine US states have weather modification infrastructure
“There are nine states in the US that already have weather modification infrastructure, and so we are able to essentially plug in, plug it, plug into that”
Supercool Earth will use drones for cloud seeding
“We will be using drones for our cloud seeding, and there are some waivers that we will need through the FAA, but those we can get”
Supercool Earth engineers microbes to express active ice-nucleating proteins
“What we're doing with our technology is we're taking natural proteins and encoding them into microbes that we engineered to make the proteins at high levels and maintain their activity”