Prediction certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

CDR market will overcome US policy retreat via international adoption

Steve Oldham · Captura's high-stakes gamble · Nov 19, 2025 · at 29:03

Captura CEO Steve Oldham assesses whether political uncertainty and shifting sustainability commitments in the US will stall global carbon removal market growth.

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“I think we will. And I think we'll get past this current challenge with the US. Because the rest of the world is looking at it as an opportunity for them.”

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More from Steve Oldham

Disclosure
Captura's direct ocean capture system runs on intermittent or curtailed energy
“Direct air capture typically requires a continuous level of power. We've designed our system to work with very intermittent and even curtailed energy for the majority, if not potentially all, of our energy use.”
Steve Oldham Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 6:34 Captura's high-stakes gamble
Assertion Supported
Captura's carbon capture process adds zero new material to the ocean
“So our process adds nothing to the ocean. We do not put any new material into the ocean whatsoever. The only thing we do is take out The CO two.”
Steve Oldham Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 14:22 Captura's high-stakes gamble
Assertion Partly supported
Captura testing shows water outflow has no detrimental marine effect
“We grow marine life in our outflow at various concentrations to confirm that we are having no detrimental effect. We model how our Outflow plume of water rapidly disseminates into the wider ocean and validate that within a very small distance from the outflow,…”
Steve Oldham Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 15:12 Captura's high-stakes gamble
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Captura logs hundreds of operational hours without hardware degradation
“We've got hundreds of hours of continuous operation with no degradation.”
Steve Oldham Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 23:56 Captura's high-stakes gamble
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Captura targets 2028 for its first operational commercial plant
“So, we're targeting twenty-twenty-eight to be in operation with our first commercial plant.”
Steve Oldham Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 24:28 Captura's high-stakes gamble
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Captura's first plant may blend project finance, equity, and partnerships
“It may end up being a combination of project finance and equity type finance, maybe a partnership.”
Steve Oldham Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 26:00 Captura's high-stakes gamble
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