why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 7 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Adcock: A Board Coup Will Never Happen to Altman or Me Again
“Like this will never happen to Sam ever again. This problem that we're talking about here will never happen to me going forward again.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2033
Figure aims to ship one million humanoid robots within 10 years
“I hope within the next, you know, 10 years, we can ship at least a million robots into the world.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028
Lieberman: Twitter will not 5x revenue to $26.4B by 2028
“I just think that it is going to take more than Call it, let's call it five years to five X revenue, given they haven't even really proven that they can scale one revenue stream, let alone what I believe will need to be multiple to get it to twenty six billion…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2033
Ankur Jain: Commercial Moon mining and transport will occur in 5-10 years
“Now what we're doing with Moon Express is saying, how do you create the last mile solution to get, you know, whether it's satellites positioned or whether it's, you know, going to the moon and actually mining the moon for, you know, helium three or platinum an…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2028
Medeiros: A company-owned VTuber will reach 10% of MrBeast's scale
“So, like, I don't, it hasn't happened yet, but I'm willing to bet that somebody will get to, like, 10% of Mr. Beast's level as a virtual character, and that a company owns, which is insane.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2099
All non-rocket transportation will become electric this century
“Basically the century, all form of transportation besides rockets will move to electric.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2033
Figure hopes to test elderly care robots in homes within 10 years
“I would certainly hope that at the tenure mark, we're starting to do testing in homes with caring for the elderly and other things.”