The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 10 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Adcock: A Board Coup Will Never Happen to Altman or Me Again
“Like this will never happen to Sam ever again. This problem that we're talking about here will never happen to me going forward again.”
Figure aims to ship one million humanoid robots within 10 years
“I hope within the next, you know, 10 years, we can ship at least a million robots into the world.”
Lieberman: Twitter will not 5x revenue to $26.4B by 2028
“I just think that it is going to take more than Call it, let's call it five years to five X revenue, given they haven't even really proven that they can scale one revenue stream, let alone what I believe will need to be multiple to get it to twenty six billion…”
Ankur Jain: Commercial Moon mining and transport will occur in 5-10 years
“Now what we're doing with Moon Express is saying, how do you create the last mile solution to get, you know, whether it's satellites positioned or whether it's, you know, going to the moon and actually mining the moon for, you know, helium three or platinum an…”
Medeiros: A company-owned VTuber will reach 10% of MrBeast's scale
“So, like, I don't, it hasn't happened yet, but I'm willing to bet that somebody will get to, like, 10% of Mr. Beast's level as a virtual character, and that a company owns, which is insane.”
Rabois: Asking if you would re-hire yields a 0.67 correlation coefficient
“There's actually research behind this, that if you just ask that one question, would you make this hire again? You're going to get like a predictive value of, you know.67 correlation coefficient, which is good enough.”
All non-rocket transportation will become electric this century
“Basically the century, all form of transportation besides rockets will move to electric.”
Figure hopes to test elderly care robots in homes within 10 years
“I would certainly hope that at the tenure mark, we're starting to do testing in homes with caring for the elderly and other things.”