The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Lieberman: Short-form video agencies will commoditize and suffer poor retention
“I fear those agencies are going, they're going to be super commoditized because they're very easy to spin up. I worried that retention of customers wouldn't be high because it would be hard for customers who are, let's say, paying 3000 dollars a month to actua…”
Alex Lieberman Apr 23, 2024 ▶ 7:27 My New Business
Opinion
Pujji: TikTok is the exact asset Microsoft has wanted for two decades
“Microsoft, on the other hand, this is the asset they've been waiting for like two decades.”
Jesse Pujji Jan 10, 2023 ▶ 30:09 Our 2023 Predictions, from AI to the Creator Economy
Insight
Alex Lieberman: 10% of social content drives 90% of audience growth
“There very much is kind of this power law of there are, let's call it. 10% of your, whether it's tweets, Whether it's your TikTok videos, whether it's your YouTube videos that contribute to 90% of your followers or subscribers.”
Alex Lieberman Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 3:33 Gaining 150k Followers From One Video + Jesse Reveals His New Business
Insight
Jesse Pujji: Never spend more than $50 daily when launching social ads
“Facebook and TikTok, I mean, there's overhead and learning how to use their platforms. That's real. And so I would never start by spending more than 50 bucks a day.”
Jesse Pujji Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 47:48 Gaining 150k Followers From One Video + Jesse Reveals His New Business
Insight
Pujji: Creators Should Fear Irrelevance and Low Quality, Not Public Judgment
“Your problem is not going to be that people are going to see your content and judge you. It's going to be that your content's not very good, and they're not going to see it. And like, but that's the reality of all these things, right? Like, the more I've been …”
Jesse Pujji Apr 11, 2023 ▶ 30:20 The Shameless Entrepreneur, Shoptalk 2023, When To Delegate
Insight
Pujji: Adopting established 'best practice' video hooks is usually too late
“By the time the thing makes its way to a best practice hook, it's basically too late.”
Jesse Pujji Feb 28, 2023 ▶ 29:30 How a 26-Year Old With Autism Built a $10 Million Samurai Sword Business
Insight
Medeiros: 70% to 80% of short-form video success depends on the hook
“So I'll say about 80 through 70% of the video is just like the hook, which is like the 1:03 seconds.”
Isaac Medeiros Feb 28, 2023 ▶ 28:04 How a 26-Year Old With Autism Built a $10 Million Samurai Sword Business
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pujji: Future e-commerce websites will look like TikTok and Instagram
“The e-comm website hasn't changed in 15 years and we're going to give all the tools to the merchants to make them, it's going to look just like TikTok and Instagram in the future.”
Jesse Pujji Feb 14, 2023 ▶ 5:38 The Story of Richard Branson & How to Find Product-Market Fit
Opinion
Amoruso: Twitter DMs Drive Real Professional Opportunities Unlike Instagram or TikTok
“Opportunities. Like, this don't come through DMs on Instagram. They don't come through TikTok. It's how I met Sam Parr. Like, it's how I've met people who've become really influential in my life. Like, that doesn't happen on Instagram.”
Sophia Amoruso Nov 3, 2022 ▶ 25:48 Can Elon Turn the Twitter Ship Around?
Insight
Amoruso: Scarcity mechanisms drive habit formation across social media and retail
“I think scarcity is a really big mechanism, which Be Real is capitalizing on. I think with TikTok, even the trends are a bit of a scarcity model in terms of like, you need to get on this now. It's going to become outdated. Same with fashion, same with news. So…”
Sophia Amoruso Oct 25, 2022 ▶ 18:27 How to & How NOT to do Layoffs, the Tax Tip to save you MILLIONS and is the Gas App Going to Solve Bullying?
Prediction Held up
Lieberman: Food influencers will evolve into digital restaurants via ghost kitchens
“I think where food influence, so anyone on Instagram, TikTok, et cetera, who is building personality and doing so in the food category, where it is going is I think these people are going to become restaurants in their own right.”
Alex Lieberman Aug 2, 2021 ▶ 14:04 Founder's Mailbox
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Alex Lieberman's video views dropped from 700k peak to under 4k recently
“My last three, 62nd startups got 2000 views, a thousand views, and 3800 views. And just for context, like my most watched 62nd startup had 600,000 or 700,000 views.”
Alex Lieberman Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 8:29 Gaining 150k Followers From One Video + Jesse Reveals His New Business
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alex Lieberman gained 100,000 of his 107,000 TikTok followers from four videos
“Of the 105 or 107,000 followers I have on TikTok. I think a 100,000 of them came from three or four videos.”
Alex Lieberman Apr 25, 2023 ▶ 4:06 Gaining 150k Followers From One Video + Jesse Reveals His New Business
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