The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu predicts humans will soon stop interacting directly with code
“We're not always, I mean, we're not gonna be interacting with code for that much longer, you know, or programs might not be the right, like level of abstraction, but I think what is always true probably is that it will be the human computer interface.”
Scott Wu Jun 28, 2026 ▶ 10:23 The Future of Software & AI | Cognition’s Scott Wu
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu predicts intent-to-execution AI development will be solved in five years
“But I honestly, I mean, I think we'll have solved most of that over the next five years or so.”
Scott Wu Jun 28, 2026 ▶ 18:32 The Future of Software & AI | Cognition’s Scott Wu
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Scott Wu predicts AI systems will eventually work unassisted for a year
“And yeah, I think that's true, and I think we will get there.”
Scott Wu Jun 28, 2026 ▶ 23:03 The Future of Software & AI | Cognition’s Scott Wu
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI agents will generate single-use code to automate white-collar workflows
“I think what we're gonna get to Is we're going to get to a point where you are just giving your instructions to that agent and the agent on the back end, you know, you don't even have to look at this, but on the back end, the agent is going to figure out, oka…”
Scott Wu Jun 28, 2026 ▶ 17:11 The Future of Software & AI | Cognition’s Scott Wu
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu predicts society will forget living without AI within ten years
“But I think we'll kind of, Undergo the same period with AI where five years from now, it's going to be insane to think about all these things that we're going to have. 10 years from now, we're going to have forgotten that we ever lived without them, honestly.”
Scott Wu Jun 28, 2026 ▶ 20:28 The Future of Software & AI | Cognition’s Scott Wu
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