Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu predicts humans will soon stop interacting directly with code
“We're not always, I mean, we're not gonna be interacting with code for that much longer, you know, or programs might not be the right, like level of abstraction, but I think what is always true probably is that it will be the human computer interface.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Engineering teams using Devin ship software ten times faster
“And in practice, what it looks like is that teams use Devon to ship 10 times faster and to do 10 times more.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu predicts intent-to-execution AI development will be solved in five years
“But I honestly, I mean, I think we'll have solved most of that over the next five years or so.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Scott Wu predicts AI systems will eventually work unassisted for a year
“And yeah, I think that's true, and I think we will get there.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu confirms initial Devin launch videos were real, unstaged runs
“All of those like demos that we showed, you know, in, in, in our launch announcement were like actual runs of Devon that we had done ourselves and like run into and been like, holy shit, this is insane.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu admits AI agents did not work generally during early deployments
“Let's be real here, ok? Agents did not work generally, ok? And so, there was a lot of like, how do you make it work for you very specific?”
Assertion Supported
Devin scored 13 percent on SWE-bench against a 3 percent baseline
“At the time the best known was like Three or four percent or something like that, but obviously, yeah, 13% still means you fail, you know, 87% of the time.”
Insight
Scott Wu compares building a company to a tree search algorithm
“It's the way even building a company, it feels the same. It's just like you're calculating the moves. You're thinking about, okay, if you do this and then this happens and then you do that and here are the different moves and you're like calculating out what c…”
Disclosure
Cognition works with Goldman Sachs, Mercedes, and the US government
“We work with a lot of the big, biggest companies across the world, you know, we work with Goldman Sachs, we work with Mercedes, we work with, you know, a lot of areas of the U S government at this point and so on.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI agents will generate single-use code to automate white-collar workflows
“I think what we're gonna get to
Is we're going to get to a point where you are just giving your instructions to that agent and the agent on the back end, you know, you don't even have to look at this, but on the back end, the agent is going to figure out, oka…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu predicts society will forget living without AI within ten years
“But I think we'll kind of, Undergo the same period with AI where five years from now, it's going to be insane to think about all these things that we're going to have. 10 years from now, we're going to have forgotten that we ever lived without them, honestly.”
Assertion Supported
The uninterrupted task horizon for AI agents doubles every few months
“And that's just doubled every, you know, every couple of months basically. And now we're talking about like, Hours of work. So, so basically an AI can just take a task that would have taken humans hours of work to go do.”
Insight
Long-horizon AI agents execute autonomous missions rather than narrow tasks
“When you're talking about seconds, you're literally talking about just like a specific command, right? When you're talking about hours, you're talking about giving it a task and having it do the task, right? And I agree with you. Obviously bulk email is not, y…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cognition generates 75 to 80 percent of revenue from enterprise customers
“Today, around 75, 80%.”
Disclosure
Cognition ignores individual hobbyists to focus on production engineering teams
“And so, so we don't focus at all on like, you know, individual hobbyists who are just like trying to make a cool thing or something like that. We focus on like, Real teams who are building real products that they want people to use and getting output out of th…”
Disclosure
Cognition's entire team flew to Brazil to onboard its first enterprise customer
“Well, so NewBank, I mean, the first one, honestly, our entire team was the Ford deployed team. Like we all flew to Brazil.”
Disclosure
Devin dynamically routes tasks across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and internal models
“Devin, rather than being pegged to one model and saying, oh, we're only going to serve you GPT for this, or we're only going to serve you OPFIS for this, Devin can use any of the different models it has in its arsenal, which include all of these models from An…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
The first automated task Devin successfully performed was setting up MongoDB
“The first task that Devon did was it like set up MongoDB for us.”
Assertion Supported
Cognition's first commercial success was an enterprise migration for Nubank
“Our first success ended up being with a company called Nubank, biggest bank in Brazil, you know, by market cap at the time, and the use case was like one of these big migrations, and we had a kind of a custom Devon that was like extremely, extremely optimized …”
Disclosure
Cognition aims to complete enterprise customer deployments in three months
“We're saying that these cycles typically take 12 to 18 months. We try to get deployed with folks, you know, in like three months.”
Disclosure
Scott Wu's childhood home displayed math trophies instead of family photos
“We didn't have like, you know, growing up, like we didn't have like pictures of our parents, like on the walls. You know, we just had old math competition trophies.”
Assertion Partly supported
Cognition started with an unusually large founding team of nine people
“Our founding team is, it was a pretty big founding team. It was nine people. And most of us had already founded our own companies before we had done different things.”
Scott Wu