The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Collison: Everything will pass through a transformer model before consumption
“Everything will pass through a transformer model before it's consumed.”
Patrick Collison Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 44:00 A Cheeky Pint with Cognition CEO Scott Wu
Assertion Supported
Collison: Median clinical trial enrollment costs $40,000 per patient
“The median clinical trial enrollee, it now costs 40,000 dollars.”
Patrick Collison Nov 11, 2025 ▶ 10:32 Dave Ricks, CEO of Eli Lilly, on GLP-1s and the business of pharma
Assertion Supported
Collison: India's largest generic manufacturer paid a $500M fraud fine
“The largest generic manufacturer in India, I forget its name paid a half a billion dollar fine in 2013. Yeah, for rampant fraud and falsification and abuse of the biosimilarity analyses and so forth”
Patrick Collison Nov 11, 2025 ▶ 1:17:26 Dave Ricks, CEO of Eli Lilly, on GLP-1s and the business of pharma
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