why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Collison: Everything will pass through a transformer model before consumption
“Everything will pass through a transformer model before it's consumed.”
Insight
Collison: B2B payments need a DNS-style central clearinghouse for bank accounts
“If you looked at the bill pay system from the outside, you would say, we should have DNS for companies.
So rather than a company
Like, sending you their bank account details.
You should, like, look them up in some central clearinghouse, and that way you confir…”
Opinion
Collison: Big tech incumbents leave fewer AI opportunities on the table
“Clearly, all the large companies these days, they're very aware, they're very connected with the ecosystem. If you look at Asatia or Mark Zuckerberg, they are very aware of everything that's going on AI, and they're paying a lot of attention to it. And so, yea…”
Opinion
Collison: B2B bill payment has resisted modernization for 40 years
“It seems like bill payment,
Has proven over the past 40 years uniquely resistant to automation and modernization.”
Assertion Supported
Collison: Median clinical trial enrollment costs $40,000 per patient
“The median clinical trial enrollee, it now costs 40,000 dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Collison: India's largest generic manufacturer paid a $500M fraud fine
“The largest generic manufacturer in India, I forget its name paid a half a billion dollar fine in 2013. Yeah, for rampant fraud and falsification and abuse of the biosimilarity analyses and so forth”