The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Staniszewski: ElevenLabs hopes to pass voice Turing test within a year
“Our goal is to like pass the voice Turing test in all those cases, or the Turing test for all conversational agents outside of voice two. And I hope we will be there in the next year or so.”
Mati Staniszewski Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 20:44 The world of voice AI, with Mati Staniszewski of ElevenLabs
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Staniszewski: Advanced voice AI will reach cars via cloud in 2026
“I think this year it should be in the automotive Site two, or some of the applications. John Collison: Okay, so you think we'll start seeing kind of great voice models in cars this year? Mati Staniszewski: This year for their own cloud use cases, like on, on, …”
Mati Staniszewski Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 15:18 The world of voice AI, with Mati Staniszewski of ElevenLabs
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Staniszewski: Speech-to-speech AI will flourish in companion apps
“And speech to speech, as you think about maybe more of like a companion version of the applications, that's where that will flourish because maybe the hallucinations aren't as important, but the latency is a little bit more, and maybe hallucinations are even a…”
Mati Staniszewski Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 29:08 The world of voice AI, with Mati Staniszewski of ElevenLabs
Prediction Held up
Staniszewski: Fused voice-LLM models will reach hundreds of billions of parameters
“The thing that's, you know, like I hesitated on the question is, in a cascaded approach, you probably will not see like dramatic size changes. You inherently want the models to be quick and reliable. You want to orchestrate them in a smart way. In a fused appr…”
Mati Staniszewski Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 39:39 The world of voice AI, with Mati Staniszewski of ElevenLabs
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