The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: AI job displacement will be slowed dramatically by licensing and unions
“The employment shifts everybody's worried about are actually not going to happen at anywhere near the velocity people think because it's like, you know, a significant, significant percentage of jobs in the US literally are, you know, licensed or unionized or c…”
Marc Andreessen Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 54:50 Marc Andreessen and Charlie Songhurst on the past, present, and future of Silicon Valley
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Most AI computation will run on smaller, open-source models
“My guess is we, they're gonna live in a world in which most aggregate AI is gonna be executed probably on smaller, smaller form factors, And probably most of that is going to be open source.”
Marc Andreessen Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 53:28 Marc Andreessen and Charlie Songhurst on the past, present, and future of Silicon Valley
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Tokenizing real-world assets will work incredibly well beyond dollars
“The idea was a crypto token wrapping a real world asset. So that was one of the, part of the original thinking on all this stuff. It's worked incredibly well for dollars. I believe that will work incredibly well for many other kinds of assets.”
Marc Andreessen Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 1:19:21 Marc Andreessen and Charlie Songhurst on the past, present, and future of Silicon Valley
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