The Ledger
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why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Ricks: AI won't solve biology until we understand over 50% of it
“And today, I don't know, I would estimate we might know 10 to 15% of human biology. So the machine's not going to be good at all until we get way above 50%.”
Ricks: Expensive cardiovascular trial mandates protect GLP-1 incumbents from low-cost competition
“Now, by happy accident, we are all now really pleased with, like, incretins, like our trisepetide to run them because they frequently demonstrate massive benefit. Uncardiovascular. And in some ways, it creates a barrier to entry for the next low-cost Chinese p…”