why aren't all 20 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Sundheim: D1 Capital does not use derivatives due to timeframe risk
“I don't use, I really don't use derivatives at all. The problem with derivatives is like, look, At the end of the day, when you break down, what is a derivative? It's just leverage and implied volatility. Like, if I want leverage, I can go, you know, get lever…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sundheim: Hiring lateral portfolio managers from other funds almost never succeeds
“If I hire somebody laterally, who's a portfolio manager in another fund, that's rarely been successful, almost, almost never.”
Insight
Sundheim: The biggest investing mistakes come from selling great compounders too early
“The biggest mistakes are selling the Costco's too early, because you know, the IRR is totally dependent upon what you assume the exit multiple is, like, and that is difficult to be precise about, you know, what the right exit multiple is for a business.”
Disclosure
Sundheim: D1 Capital stopped investing in China around 2022
“Yeah, we stopped investing in China about three years ago.”
Disclosure
Sundheim: D1 analysts must submit weekly mock portfolios allocating capital
“We, yeah, we, everyone has like a, what we call a mock portfolio. So every week they have to take the positions they cover and they have to say, if I was managing capital, here's how I would allocate capital.”
Disclosure
Sundheim: Over 90% to 95% of D1 trades are his own decisions
“90, 95% plus.”
Disclosure
Sundheim: D1 usually buys public stocks before finishing investment memos
“We're having to get to the memo stage, and usually we start buying it before, because in the public markets, you know, if you have a good idea, you could take a month and a half to, like, write a memo, but by that time, the price may have moved. So usually we …”
Disclosure
D1 Capital covered all short positions at peak prices during GameStop rally
“We covered everything at the worst time, and I knew it was the worst time. But, if it kept going on for two weeks, yeah, all of a sudden there's a real problem, and I wasn't going to put the firm at risk, and I told my investors that this is the worst time.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sundheim: D1's 2020 short portfolio ultimately underperformed massively
“Now, if I had held that short portfolio, forget like from the top, if I just held from the end of 2020, I mean, they underperformed massively.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
D1 Capital never received margin calls during the January 2021 GameStop squeeze
“We never came close to going into business, never had margin calls, never.”
Disclosure
Sundheim: D1 Capital avoids hiring portfolio managers or public equity veterans
“One, we don't hire portfolio managers. I pretty much only hire people who've never done public equity before which has pros and cons.”
Insight
Sundheim: Private secondaries only offer easy liquidity for companies you shouldn't sell
“You can sell, like, the best companies you can sell easily, but those aren't the companies you want to sell. You know, it, it's, ah, we rarely transact in the secondary market because, you know, we don't want to sell the best companies, and it's hard, like peo…”
Insight
Sundheim: Monthly and quarterly returns are arbitrary outputs of past decisions
“If you have a portfolio of things that you've built over time, our monthly returns and quarterly returns are purely an output. Like there's nothing, it's, it is arbitrary in some respects.”
Disclosure
Sundheim: D1 analysts must be awake during coverage earnings calls
“If the company reports earnings, I expect the analyst to be awake. And I'm awake too.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sundheim: Private equity hires take three years to contribute at D1
“Now, like, if I hire somebody from private equity, it takes about three years for them to really be, like, contributing to the one.”
Disclosure
Sundheim: D1 paused short selling for a year after GameStop
“After GameStop, we took about a year off of short selling, and then I reengaged in short selling.”
Insight
Sundheim: Companies facing secular decline almost never get acquired
“I find that, like generally, companies that have secularists almost never get bought. Like, I rarely has, do I ever see a CEO say, I want to go buy something that grows slower than I do, right? Like, this doesn't happen, right? Nobody wants, like, Take the tim…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sundheim: D1's diversified short alpha matches its concentrated era
“Our short alpha since that time, and since we implemented the more diverse portfolio you referenced, our short alpha has been as good or better”
Disclosure
Sundheim: D1 Capital will definitely not expand into macro trading
“Definitely not macro. First of all, like, it's tempting to think that because you're good at one thing, you're going to be good at all these different things, and, ah, I think that in and of itself was like a mistake.”
What-if
Sundheim: D1 Capital should have owned more AI stocks
“I think to our detriment.
We should have owned more AI stocks.”