Dan Sundheim explains his risk management philosophy regarding shorting following the January 2021 GameStop retail squeeze.
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sundheim: Chinese tech firms avoided beating earnings to dodge scrutiny
“For a while we were seeing Chinese internet companies, like, they didn't want to beat earnings. Because if you beat earnings, your stock goes up too much. You know, you might be flagging that, like, you're over-earning”
Opinion
Sundheim: Nvidia is not expensive and public AI stocks aren't in a bubble
“I would tell you, like, NVIDIA is, we can have a debate about what the earnings are going to be in a few years but it's not expensive.
Like, NVIDIA trades at twenty-something times multiple.
that's, you know, I think within reason, and I don't think there's…”
Insight
Sundheim: The biggest investing mistakes come from selling great compounders too early
“The biggest mistakes are selling the Costco's too early, because you know, the IRR is totally dependent upon what you assume the exit multiple is, like, and that is difficult to be precise about, you know, what the right exit multiple is for a business.”
Insight
Sundheim: Private market illiquidity is a huge benefit for holding great companies
“That's the nice thing about the private markets is that Once you invest, you can't sell, and usually for the best companies, that's a huge benefit ultimately.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sundheim: Hiring lateral portfolio managers from other funds almost never succeeds
“If I hire somebody laterally, who's a portfolio manager in another fund, that's rarely been successful, almost, almost never.”
Disclosure
Sundheim: D1 Capital does not use derivatives due to timeframe risk
“I don't use, I really don't use derivatives at all. The problem with derivatives is like, look, At the end of the day, when you break down, what is a derivative? It's just leverage and implied volatility. Like, if I want leverage, I can go, you know, get lever…”