The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Russo: Google's top-line revenue growth will exceed 20% over coming years
“It's well over 20%.”
Tom Russo Mar 11, 2019 ▶ 18:08 Thomas Russo – All About Google (Capital Allocators, EP.90)
Assertion Contradicted
Berkshire Subsidiary MiTek Used Phantom Stock That Increased 1,000x
“They had an interesting phantom stock arrangement. They created a phantom share. Called a share of my tech within the company. And Warren referred at one point an annual report that had gone up a thousand times.”
Tom Russo Mar 4, 2019 ▶ 15:56 Thomas Russo – All About Berkshire Hathaway (Capital Allocators, EP.89)
Assertion Contradicted
Russo: Berkshire Hathaway has experienced 50% drawdowns four times
“You know, I think over its life, they've had a 50% drawdown four years over the period of time.”
Tom Russo Mar 4, 2019 ▶ 43:24 Thomas Russo – All About Berkshire Hathaway (Capital Allocators, EP.89)
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