The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Haugaard: Hard Currency EM Debt Is a $1.3 Trillion Asset Class
“Hot currency as an asset class constitutes around 1.3 trillion USD. It's very comparable in size to the US high yield market.”
Thomas Haugaard Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 8:20 Thomas Haugaard - Hard Currency Emerging Markets Debt at JHI (EP.356)
Assertion Supported
Haugaard: Over 80 Countries Now Issue Hard Currency Emerging Market Debt
“You find more than 80 countries issuing hot currency. And that number of countries has more than doubled in the last 20 years.”
Thomas Haugaard Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 8:41 Thomas Haugaard - Hard Currency Emerging Markets Debt at JHI (EP.356)
Assertion Supported
Haugaard: Top 10 Countries Make Up 42% of EMBI vs. 86% of GBI-EM
“I think if you take the top 10 countries in the MB, the hard currency index, they constitute around 42% of the total index. If you take top 10 names in the local currency index, it's around 86% of the index.”
Thomas Haugaard Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 9:34 Thomas Haugaard - Hard Currency Emerging Markets Debt at JHI (EP.356)
Assertion Partly supported
Haugaard: China Constitutes Only 4.5% of the Hard Currency EMBI Benchmark
“In the hard currency investment universe, and in the MB, there's probably around 4.5%. So China is a much smaller part than it is in most asset classes”
Thomas Haugaard Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 10:42 Thomas Haugaard - Hard Currency Emerging Markets Debt at JHI (EP.356)
Assertion Supported
Haugaard: EM Credit Spread Standard Deviation Is Near Historical Highs
“If you look at just a simple measure of standard deviation of spreads in EM, it is almost at historical highs.”
Thomas Haugaard Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 34:13 Thomas Haugaard - Hard Currency Emerging Markets Debt at JHI (EP.356)
Assertion Supported
Haugaard: Hard Currency Emerging Market Debt Averages Under Seven Years Duration
“And it's a relatively long duration asset class, so duration a little less than seven years.”
Thomas Haugaard Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 11:19 Thomas Haugaard - Hard Currency Emerging Markets Debt at JHI (EP.356)
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