The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Gilmore: AIGFP halted new super senior transactions in late 2005
“In the case of FP, They stopped entering into new super senior transactions of that elk from late, 2005, well ahead of the final denouement in 2007, 2008. It wasn't soon enough.”
Stephen Gilmore Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 11:28 Stephen Gilmore – CalPERS' Total Portfolio Approach (EP.486)
Assertion Supported
Gilmore: CalPERS' legacy SAA permitted ~450 bps of active risk
“What we did was to look at how much that variation would aggregate up to in terms of the leeway management had been delegated. We estimated that that amounted to around about 450 basis points of active risk using all the policy ranges.”
Stephen Gilmore Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 18:39 Stephen Gilmore – CalPERS' Total Portfolio Approach (EP.486)
Assertion Supported
Gilmore: CalPERS compensates staff on total portfolio results, not asset classes
“Some years earlier, Marcy had changed the compensation structure so that everyone got rewarded on the basis of the whole portfolio, not their asset class.”
Stephen Gilmore Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 24:40 Stephen Gilmore – CalPERS' Total Portfolio Approach (EP.486)
Assertion Supported
Gilmore: Total Portfolio Approach Allocators Tend Toward Higher Private Market Exposure
“And if you look at the TPA adherence, they tend to have a bigger exposure to private markets.”
Stephen Gilmore Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 45:50 Stephen Gilmore – CalPERS' Total Portfolio Approach (EP.486)
Assertion Supported
Gilmore: Future Fund Benefited from 2008 Crisis Due to Low-Risk Entry
“The Future Fund has actually been one of the beneficiaries of the financial crisis because it had a low risk portfolio going into the crisis. So it had a lot of cash to invest when assets were very cheap.”
Stephen Gilmore Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 12:30 Stephen Gilmore – CalPERS' Total Portfolio Approach (EP.486)
Assertion Supported
Gilmore: NZ Super Uses a Reference Portfolio While Future Fund Does Not
“In the case of New Zealand Super, Turtle Portfolio Approach, they have a reference portfolio. Future Fund, Turtle Portfolio Approach, doesn't have a reference portfolio.”
Stephen Gilmore Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 16:23 Stephen Gilmore – CalPERS' Total Portfolio Approach (EP.486)
Assertion Supported
Gilmore: CalPERS is currently just over 80% funded
“We're just over 80% funded.”
Stephen Gilmore Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 27:14 Stephen Gilmore – CalPERS' Total Portfolio Approach (EP.486)
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