The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
CLO equity returns reached the high 20s during the Global Financial Crisis
“And then if you were in contrast, an investor in CLO equity through the financial crisis on a buy and hold basis, a lot of the equity in those deals return high, 20% returns and the debt in the CLOs defaults rarely as well.”
Shiloh Bates Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 6:32 Shiloh Bates – CLO Investing at Flat Rock Global (EP.379)
Assertion Supported
30-year default rate on BB-rated CLO debt tranches is 20 basis points
“If you look back over 30 years, the default rate on CLO double Bs is around 20 basis points.”
Shiloh Bates Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 12:14 Shiloh Bates – CLO Investing at Flat Rock Global (EP.379)
Assertion Supported
BB-rated CLO debt currently yields over 12% with minimal defaults
“Today, because CLO BBs are floating rate, and because the Fed has hiked so much, we're getting yields in the 12% plus area, and defaults have been really, really minimal.”
Shiloh Bates Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 12:41 Shiloh Bates – CLO Investing at Flat Rock Global (EP.379)
Assertion Supported
Only about 6% of CLOs have historically generated a negative IRR
“So by our math, it's about six percent of CLOs that have had negative IRR.”
Shiloh Bates Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 23:10 Shiloh Bates – CLO Investing at Flat Rock Global (EP.379)
Assertion Supported
CLO AUM grew from $6 billion in 1998 to $1 trillion today
“So there was basically about six billion in AUM when I joined. And there was six different CLO managers. And today there's really over a trillion in CLO AUM and about a hundred different active CLO managers.”
Shiloh Bates Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 3:45 Shiloh Bates – CLO Investing at Flat Rock Global (EP.379)
Assertion Supported
The CLO equity tranche represents a $100 billion asset class
“Of a trillion of CLO AUM, the CLO equity tranche is about 10% of the CLO's financing. So it's a hundred billion asset class for CLO equity in particular.”
Shiloh Bates Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 4:07 Shiloh Bates – CLO Investing at Flat Rock Global (EP.379)
Assertion Supported
CLO managers typically earn 30 to 50 basis points in fees
“They earn, call it, 30 to 50 basis points to put together the initial loan portfolio to keep the CLO fully invested.”
Shiloh Bates Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 16:08 Shiloh Bates – CLO Investing at Flat Rock Global (EP.379)
Assertion Supported
Broadly syndicated loans comprise 90% of the CLO market
“The 90% of the CLO market is broadly syndicated CLOs. So if you look in there, you're going to find companies who borrow a billion dollars and up basically.”
Shiloh Bates Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 30:57 Shiloh Bates – CLO Investing at Flat Rock Global (EP.379)
Assertion Supported
Asurion is the single largest loan held across CLO portfolios
“Asurion is the largest loan in CLOs today.”
Shiloh Bates Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 32:38 Shiloh Bates – CLO Investing at Flat Rock Global (EP.379)
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