why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Wincek: First-time fund managers must rigorously qualify whether prospective LPs can allocate
“I think the thing that we learned that we probably took too long to learn, and I wish we had learned sooner, was just around, like, qualification. There's a lot of people who will take a meeting that can't invest in a fund one, or never have, or structurally t…”
Insight
Wincek: Shotgun venture rounds fail to create long-term value
“I don't think that shotgun marriage venture rounds are tried and true recipe for long-term value creation.”
Opinion
Wincek: Outsourced VC agency models fail because startups need internal expertise
“I'm not a big believer in the outsource kind of agency model of let us do everything for you because these companies need to build this expertise internally”
Opinion
Wincek: Many venture capital firms struggle at their core with generational transfer
“Because we see so many venture firms today just struggling at their core with generational transfer.”
Insight
Wincek: Deep Customer Issues Are Fatal, Operational Scarcity Is Fixable
“Things that end up being fatal are deep customer issues. Often when you look at companies at an early stage, marketing is not efficient. CAC might be low, but it's because it's against a small number, and those are your, you know, most excited users, and can t…”
Insight
Wincek: Billion-dollar venture funds face strict minimum check sizes
“If you are investing out of a billion dollar fund, you have a minimum check size that you need to hit in order to make each deal worth it.”
Opinion
Wincek: Available compensation benchmark data is entirely backward-looking
“And there's a lot of data that's around today, but frankly, like all of that data is backwards looking. It's not real time.”
Insight
Wincek: Every startup compensation decision sets an enduring precedent
“Everything you do here, you have to realize you're going to have to do again. And so a lot of it is about how do you set up a system that you feel is generous and fair and aggressive and lets you get what you want from a talent perspective, but at the same tim…”
Insight
Wincek: Startups under 50 people struggle to hire top talent leaders
“Companies at this stage have like a structural disadvantage in hiring senior people talent. Because the truth is, is when you're 20, 30, 40 people, like being ahead of people is not that interesting of a job because you're also running HR and setting up system…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wincek: Facebook shut down apps because developers monetized before Facebook
“Facebook, a shut everybody down because everybody was making money on their platform and they weren't.”
Disclosure
Wincek: Renegade targets supercritical companies with 20 to 100 employees
“Our mission at Renegade is to be the best firm in the world at identifying companies that are about to go through through this inflection point in their growth that we call the super critical stage and help them outperform through that. So super critical stage…”
Disclosure
Wincek: Renegade Partners evaluates its market predictions using Brier scores
“We do a lot of forecasting and calculated Breyer scores around like what are short, medium term endpoints that we can try to forecast and see how good we actually are at reading the market and measuring the market.”