The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
The Bank of Japan's Yield Curve Control Peg Cannot Hold
“In fact, I think one of the best opportunities in the world, quite frankly, is in Japan, where they have the YCC program, where they have tenure rates pegged to 25 basis points, zero to 25. There's no way that's going to hold in this environment.”
Rob Citrone Jul 11, 2022 ▶ 30:13 Rob Citrone – Emerging Markets, Hedge Funds, and Staying in the Game (Capital Allocators, EP.261)
Prediction Held up
Citrone: Shorting Long-End Japanese Debt Offers 50 to 75 Basis Points
“That's one of the best fixed income shorts in the world today. He may not make a hundred basis points, but it's 50 or 75 basis points to be made in the long end on the short side there, 10 years beyond.”
Rob Citrone Jul 11, 2022 ▶ 30:23 Rob Citrone – Emerging Markets, Hedge Funds, and Staying in the Game (Capital Allocators, EP.261)
Prediction Held up
Citrone: Hedge fund fees will continue to decline
“The fees are lower, they're going to be lower.”
Rob Citrone Jul 11, 2022 ▶ 35:59 Rob Citrone – Emerging Markets, Hedge Funds, and Staying in the Game (Capital Allocators, EP.261)
Assertion Supported
Citrone: Discovery Made Back All Investor Losses and More Within Two Years
“Instead of closing down, I think we distinguished ourselves by sticking with our investors. We made their money all back. And more in less than a two year period.”
Rob Citrone Jul 11, 2022 ▶ 43:13 Rob Citrone – Emerging Markets, Hedge Funds, and Staying in the Game (Capital Allocators, EP.261)
Assertion Supported
Citrone: 1990s Restructured Latin American Debt Yielded 25% in Dollars
“At the time, they were restructuring a lot of the Latin American debt and the Brady bonds, and we got involved in buying some of this debt, and the yields were 25% in dollars.”
Rob Citrone Jul 11, 2022 ▶ 6:54 Rob Citrone – Emerging Markets, Hedge Funds, and Staying in the Game (Capital Allocators, EP.261)
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