The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Rieder projects that the US economy will achieve 8% GDP in 2021
“I think the economy is going to grow. I mean, I think we're going to have an eight percent GDP this year.”
Rick Rieder Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 38:35 Rick Rieder – BlackRock (Manager Meetings, EP.08)
Assertion Supported
Rieder: BlackRock's global fixed income platform manages $2.6 trillion in assets
“I'm the CIO of global fixed income. So I guess our total size of that is 2.6 trillion. We've got obviously huge I shares business, a big passive business.”
Rick Rieder Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 15:33 Rick Rieder – BlackRock (Manager Meetings, EP.08)
Assertion Partly supported
Rieder: Subprime auto ABS spreads dropped from 800 bps to 15 bps
“Triple A subprime auto was at 800 spread a year ago. It's now at 15. Single A subprime auto, I think, is at 45.”
Rick Rieder Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 36:04 Rick Rieder – BlackRock (Manager Meetings, EP.08)
Assertion Supported
Rieder: US savings are $2.2T higher than pre-pandemic baseline
“I know this is a stat that the savings in this country is 2.2 trillion dollars higher than if we didn't have a pandemic.”
Rick Rieder Aug 26, 2021 ▶ 39:09 Rick Rieder – BlackRock (Manager Meetings, EP.08)
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