The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Kraus: Hedge funds generated no alpha in short positions over the last decade
“In general, across the industry, for long periods of time, last 10 years, there is no alpha in the short positions.”
Peter Kraus Feb 3, 2020 ▶ 43:54 Peter Kraus - Widening the Aperture on Alpha (First Meeting, EP.14)
Assertion Partly supported
Kraus: Nearly all ETFs outside US large cap trail their benchmarks
“Virtually all ETFs, with the exception of US large cap, actually earn less than the index. There's friction cost. Security lending doesn't overcome all the friction cost. Can't always buy all the securities.”
Peter Kraus Feb 3, 2020 ▶ 35:53 Peter Kraus - Widening the Aperture on Alpha (First Meeting, EP.14)
Assertion Supported
Kraus: Goldman Sachs partners received equal compensation across different specialties
“What was really curious to me about Goldman Sachs was, Goldman Sachs allowed people to specialize, and they compensated the different specialties equally. So at the partnership level, I mean, if you became a partner, you could be a corporate finance specialist…”
Peter Kraus Feb 3, 2020 ▶ 10:21 Peter Kraus - Widening the Aperture on Alpha (First Meeting, EP.14)
Assertion Contradicted
Kraus: Merrill Lynch free cash plummeted from $90B to $10B in 2008
“I remember the time we had some ninety-odd billion dollars of free cash. I tell you that because that 90 went to below 10 within a short period of time. Just basically from mark to mark, it's not losses.”
Peter Kraus Feb 3, 2020 ▶ 20:25 Peter Kraus - Widening the Aperture on Alpha (First Meeting, EP.14)
Assertion Partly supported
Kraus: High-yield ETFs hold 100 bonds versus 1,000 in index
“For example, in high yield, the high yield ETF owns a hundred bonds. The actual index owns over a thousand, and so replicating the index is almost impossible.”
Peter Kraus Feb 3, 2020 ▶ 36:09 Peter Kraus - Widening the Aperture on Alpha (First Meeting, EP.14)
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