The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Siegel: Total global forest cover is actually increasing, not decreasing
“And the amount of forest in the world is going up, not down.”
Siegel: Half of the world's population is now middle class
“For the first time in history, half of the world's population is middle class. By the standards of the World Bank.”
Siegel: Ford Foundation outperformed mostly via high equity allocation, not manager selection
“I think we did over the very long run, but most of that was by having more equities than the average foundation in a period when equities went up tremendously.”
Siegel accurately predicts COVID-19 will become an ongoing managed condition
“We'll get this under control, it'll be a new virus that we deal with on a, an ongoing basis, like the flu, or SARS, or MERS, or AIDS, or polio. There will be a vaccine, there may be a cure, and we'll move on to the next crisis.”