The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Aumni data: Founders take less dilution and secure unprecedentedly favorable rights
“All of that I think is creating an environment where founders have the most friendly terms that they've ever had. That's the reality of what we're seeing in the data is that companies, founders are taking on less delusion in growth rounds. Generally speaking, …”
Kelsey Chase Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 21:27 Kelsey Chase – Analyzing Venture Transactions at Aumni (Capital Allocators, EP.241)
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Aumni data: Highest valuation markups occur within six months of Series B
“So within six months of the B is where we see the highest median markups. Biggest valuation increases are happening within six months of your B.”
Kelsey Chase Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 24:30 Kelsey Chase – Analyzing Venture Transactions at Aumni (Capital Allocators, EP.241)
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Aumni data: Valuation markups drop precipitously 18 months after Series B rounds
“There still are strong valuations in months seven through 18, but not as strong as the first six months, but good markups really up through 18 months after your B, and then we see a pretty precipitous drop off after that 18 month marker.”
Kelsey Chase Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 24:39 Kelsey Chase – Analyzing Venture Transactions at Aumni (Capital Allocators, EP.241)
Insight
Chase: Venture deal terms ultimately boil down to economics or corporate control
“And in those agreements, you can really almost boil anything down to economics or control.”
Kelsey Chase Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 10:24 Kelsey Chase – Analyzing Venture Transactions at Aumni (Capital Allocators, EP.241)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Aumni data: Lead investors secure board seats in 85% of growth rounds
“It's about 85% of lead investors in those rounds. Do you get a board seat when they lead an investment? However, if you look across the last few years, the trend has been down.”
Kelsey Chase Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 18:35 Kelsey Chase – Analyzing Venture Transactions at Aumni (Capital Allocators, EP.241)
Insight
Chase: Emerging managers should study missed pro-rata opportunities to justify larger funds
“And I think that dynamic is something if I were an emerging manager would want to be all over studying that, but then bringing new strategies to market and being able to convince LPs what that would have to translate to is larger firms potentially that have ac…”
Kelsey Chase Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 23:28 Kelsey Chase – Analyzing Venture Transactions at Aumni (Capital Allocators, EP.241)
Assertion Supported
Aumni data: Venture growth round sizes spiked exponentially following COVID-19
“One of the, I think, The pretty just staggering trends that we're seeing is over the last decade, there's pretty linear growth in terms of the size of these rounds. Like how much capital is coming into a series B company? What's the total round size? There's a…”
Kelsey Chase Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 19:32 Kelsey Chase – Analyzing Venture Transactions at Aumni (Capital Allocators, EP.241)
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Aumni data: Median time from Series B to C is 15 months
“And the median timeline that Omni came to was about 15 months.”
Kelsey Chase Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 24:10 Kelsey Chase – Analyzing Venture Transactions at Aumni (Capital Allocators, EP.241)
Assertion Supported
Chase: Most fund of funds maintain direct investment strategies alongside fund investments
“If you take a fund to fund, for example, most fund to funds do have some sort of direct investment strategy alongside their fund strategy.”
Kelsey Chase Mar 17, 2022 ▶ 16:23 Kelsey Chase – Analyzing Venture Transactions at Aumni (Capital Allocators, EP.241)
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