The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
U.S. Antitrust Chief Makan Delrahim Was Once Google's Lobbyist
“Macon Dalrahim, for example, is the attorney general for antitrust in the US. He was Google's lobbyist for the double click acquisition.”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 30:46 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Supported
TransDigm Hikes Acquired Aircraft Component Prices by 500% to 700%
“A classic one that hedge funds love and that I think is horrific is Transtime. Basically, there's not competition because to get an FAA part approved takes a very long time, and so you and I can go and provide seat belts cheaper than Transtime, and anytime the…”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 36:12 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Supported
Tepper: About two-thirds of US industries have significantly less competition
“And the issue was he was trying to look at for the median industry. Are there fewer competitors? Is there less competition at the national level today versus 10, 20 years ago? And the answer is for about two thirds of industries, the answer is there's a lot le…”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 24:41 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Partly supported
Facebook Killed Twitter's Vine Platform by Blocking Video Sharing
“Facebook effectively killed off fine by preventing that from being shared, which was Twitter's video platform. Facebook wanted to own video.”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 30:28 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Partly supported
Tepper: Two Companies Effectively Control 90% of the US Beer Market
“It's very difficult for companies to get national distribution, so that those who do have it have a pretty big advantage, and then through a series of mergers, because the regulators don't honestly care, you've ended up with two companies having over 75% marke…”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 33:17 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Supported
Tepper: Most US states have a health insurance duopoly or triopoly
“The McCarran-Ferguson Act essentially Devolved regulation down to the state level, which meant that the state insurance commissioners are the ones who decide things, so you essentially have a duopoly or three players in almost all states when it comes to healt…”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 34:52 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Supported
Valeant Exploited Regulation to Charge $300,000 for a Cheap Disease Drug
“There was Wilson's disease was the classic with Valiant, where absent regulation, they would not be able to charge 300 grand a year for a life threatening drug that really should cost pennies, right?”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 37:27 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Supported
Tepper: Mergers Leaving Fewer Than Six Competitors Drive Up Prices
“There's extensive evidence that mergers, particularly under six players, lead to higher prices.”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 42:03 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Supported
Peter Thiel's Monopoly Thesis Only Addresses Network-Effect Natural Monopolies
“Thiel praised monopolies, but interestingly, if you read his book, The only examples he gives the monopolies are essentially ones that have very strong network effects, you know, and feedback loops where you do end up with a winner-take-all dynamic.”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 46:45 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Supported
Tepper: Academic research shows family-run businesses tend to outperform
“If you look at academic research, family run owner operator businesses tend to outperform.”
Jonathan Tepper Mar 18, 2024 ▶ 40:07 Jonathan Tepper - Buying Monopolies at Prevatt Capital (EP.375)
Assertion Supported
Nine in Ten Economists Missed the Four Recessions Prior to 2008
“Nine out of 10 economists had missed the last four recessions where we had the blue chip consensus estimates”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 11:30 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
Assertion Supported
Tepper: US Insurance Industry Is Exempt From Federal Antitrust Laws
“Believe it or not, the insurance industry is exempt from antitrust supervision under McCarran Ferguson, right?”
Jonathan Tepper Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 49:38 Jonathan Tepper - Variant Perception of Capitalism (Capital Allocators, EP.110)
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