The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Long/short equity managers are generally poor at shorting stocks
“Pretty good data out there that long, short managers, and I'm sure you know this, are good at picking stocks. Not as good at shorting stocks on average. Some are good, but not as good on average.”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 25:06 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Insight
Investment committee governance decisions destroy massive value while chasing marginal alpha
“Everybody's had lots of decades of concentrating on why the small cap manager ought to beat the benchmark by 50 basis points. And yet, a lot of times, the governance decisions that are coming out of the committees are destroying massive amounts of value, and n…”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 50:25 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Opinion
Applying ERISA-style pension rules to family and endowment management destroys value
“What I'm criticizing is misapplying it Into family and endowment management, where we should like tracking error. We should think about what you need to do to outperform, not shy away from it. I guess that's my biggest pet peeve, is best practices that are act…”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 56:03 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Insight
Dynamic asset allocation only works for avoiding once-a-decade market bubbles
“Where I am on that is that you can, if you are careful when you do it, and you respond to very strong signals. So it may happen once every 10 years, but if you can avoid a bubble by doing that dynamic asset allocation, it's hugely impactful”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 17:01 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Opinion
The size factor is questionable compared to valuation, momentum, and quality
“We think there are some sustainable factors that add value, like valuation and momentum and quality. Size is a little more questionable, in our opinion, but we're still looking at factors all the time.”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 21:44 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Opinion
Wall Street firms underappreciate OCIO by treating it as product distribution
“We think the whole OCIO concept has been underappreciated by Wall Street, because the big firms who are getting into the space see it as a distribution arm. You know, it's a label. They want to Get more assets. Good. But we see it as actually this sea change …”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 51:45 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goldman Sachs shifted to trading after the J. Aron takeover
“When the Jay Aaron people took over, it became more trading focused. And so when I was there, it was still very much relationship driven.”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 10:21 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
R.K. Mellon's family office consistently outperformed Goldman Sachs in the 1980s
“The chief investment officer was a guy named Arthur Miltonberger, and I covered him as a broker, and what was interesting was that they were consistently outperforming us, so Arthur Who was based in leafy Ligonier, Pennsylvania, which is really a bucolic setti…”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 12:29 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Insight
Factor strategies are less effective for taxable families due to trading friction
“Families, it's a little different than institutions, because a lot of these factor weights like momentum and valuation and quality are pretty heavily traded. So they're not as effective for families as they are for institutions.”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 23:16 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Insight
Long-lockup illiquid assets offer rich and repeatable alpha
“So when we think at the very top, we're thinking about illiquid assets, 10 to 12 year lockups, and that's a big, thick icing on the top. There's lots of alpha there. Lots of manager value added because it's an illiquid market. It's idiosyncratic. It takes spec…”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 30:59 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Disclosure
Private equity target is 400 basis points over public markets net
“Our expected return for private equity is about 400 basis points over the long-term expected return of the public markets. So 10 real.”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 46:30 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Disclosure
Hirtle Callaghan avoids public credit in favor of private credit
“So we're not very high on credit right now. And, you know, fixed income-wise in general, we're pretty conservative. We are finding interesting things in private credit, and that's where we would prefer to go. Rather than taking a higher risk in public markets,…”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 49:03 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Insight
Employing portfolio leverage effectively is a distinct investment skill
“Using leverage is its own skill. I mean, I don't want to act like that's easy. You just put five percent on and leave it. That's not my point at all. People would poo-poo hedge fund guys say, well, they're just long short with leverage. And I'm like, well, yea…”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 53:55 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Opinion
The 1980s era under Weinberg and Whitehead was Goldman's golden era
“I personally think, and I know they're more profitable today and so forth, but that that was a golden era for Goldman Sachs. It was run by John Weinberg and John Whitehead, but other leaders like Bill Gruber and Roy Zuckerberg and Richard Menchel and so forth.”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 9:53 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
Disclosure
Every Hirtle Callaghan client is currently overweight emerging markets
“So what happens is, if we're overweight emerging markets, which we happen to be today, Every client we have is overweight emerging markets.”
Jon Hirtle May 6, 2019 ▶ 37:10 Jon Hirtle – The Pioneer of OCIO (Capital Allocators, EP.98)
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