The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Vulcan Value Partners scaled from $1B to $20B during Falbe's tenure
“When I signed on to Vulcan, it was a one billion dollar boutique. They were large enough that I was very confident they'd be able to pay the bills. There'd be some stability, but also small enough to still be able to really perform. And that was important to m…”
Jim Falbe Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 14:42 Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
Assertion Supported
Masonite and competitor Jeld-Wen control 80% of their door market
“What happened is his biggest competitor, Jeldwin, three days later, followed suit, raised their prices. Between the two of them, they own 80% of the market.”
Jim Falbe Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 25:26 Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
Assertion Supported
Vulcan sold Apple at a split-adjusted $33, missing a massive run
“When I first started at Vulcan, we owned Apple, and at the time, I mean, it was just unbelievably cheap. It was like, and the iPhone that they'd released that year was not as popular as the Samsung Galaxy, which is hard to believe today, but everybody was kind…”
Jim Falbe Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 37:40 Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
Assertion Contradicted
Falbe: Games Workshop generates 90%+ gross margins on manufacturing plastic models
“First thing you notice is, wow, they are 90% plus gross margins on producing plastic.”
Jim Falbe Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 53:52 Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
Assertion Supported
Notre Dame endowment moved early into private equity and emerging markets
“They were very early in the 19 nineties into private equity. They were also early into the aughts in emerging markets. And when I was there right after 2010, they were looking to pivot into the frontier markets.”
Jim Falbe Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 12:33 Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
Assertion Supported
Notre Dame professors pioneered the bag-of-words approach for financial sentiment analysis
“He's a former professor at Notre Dame, really well known in the industry because he and another professor there named Tim Loughran actually created the bag of words approach for sentiment analysis.”
Jim Falbe Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 58:36 Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
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