The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
John Paulson Knew Nothing About Mortgages Before Profiting Off the Meltdown
“John Paulson was unlikely. He was a merger arb. He's the one that made the most money on the mortgage meltdown. The guy didn't know anything about mortgages. He owned a home or two over the years”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 28:25 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Medallion Fund Uses Leverage Sometimes Reaching 10 to 1
“And they use leverage on top of that, sometimes as much as 10 to one or more, depending on the opportunities and such.”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 29:25 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Renaissance Medallion Generated 66% Annual Pre-Fee Returns
“They've got these returns, 66% a year before fees. Only 39% after fees, yeah, after their five and 44 fees.”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 33:56 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Renaissance Has Generated Over $100 Billion in Lifetime Trading Profits
“If you add it all up, it's over a hundred billion dollars over the course of their lives, seven billion a year before everything.”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 48:47 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Early Simons-Baum Algorithm Cornered the Maine Potato Market
“And they developed the system, an automated type system, early trading model, and it cornered the market for Maine potatoes.”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 17:11 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Jim Simons Hired Alan Greenspan as an Early Consultant
“He hired this young economist as a consultant named Alan Greenspan, and he had his red phone that went off when news broke and they would try to beat everybody else in trading kind of thing.”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 17:29 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Medallion Fund Has Been Employee-Only Since Around 2003
“Medallion has been really only Jim Simons and his employees since around 2003. They kicked the last people out.”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 30:21 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Roughly 100 of Renaissance's 300 Employees Hold PhDs
“What I mean by that is they're not just PhDs, and yet they have a hundred out of like 300 people there, their PhDs. These are people that are groundbreaking scientists, physicists, astronomers.”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 39:07 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Quantitative Traders Account for 31% of Market Trading
“So, 31% of quant trading today is from quantitative traders, and it's almost like the dumb money has left the table, the poker table, and you're going up against the sophisticated guys.”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 42:34 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Jim Simons Is the Largest Funder of Autism Research
“He is the biggest funder of autism research”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 51:39 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
Assertion Supported
Jim Simons Is Funding Scientific Research Investigating the Big Bang
“He's also trying to figure out whether the big bang took place. And so I'm interested in that too. We talk about that. They've got this big operation going on in Chile where they're trying to figure that kind of stuff out.”
Gregory Zuckerman Jan 6, 2020 ▶ 59:17 Gregory Zuckerman – Decoding Renaissance Medallion (Capital Allocators, EP.119)
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