why aren't all 34 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
SoftBank threatened to fund Lyft if Uber rejected its investment offer
“And so it was negotiating a deal with SoftBank, who in classic SoftBank fashion was saying, either you take all of our money or we're going to go invest it in Lyft and kill you.”
Opinion
MSD loses to Blackstone and Brookfield on price, competes on duration
“I don't want to go compete against Blackstone and Brookfield in real estate on price. We're going to lose all day long. But if we can compete on duration, we'll do that.”
Insight
Having a long duration capital advantage does not play in public markets
“If duration's our advantage, it doesn't really play in public markets.”
Assertion Supported
Musk tweeted '$420 funding secured' before calling bankers to evaluate buyout
“And Elon put out his infamous tweet around four, 20 funding secured. Then he called the bankers, which was slightly out of order.”
Opinion
Lemkau considers Uber founder Travis Kalanick the most impressive executor he's seen
“Travis, I'd say it's just the most impressive executor I'd ever seen. I mean, anyone who builds a business model at its core is taking on the taxi and limousine commissions in every single city and winning the guy's got to be able to execute and be relentless.”
Disclosure
Lemkau invested in Travis Kalanick's next venture through MSD Partners
“And initially it actually began a relationship where after he and I for months had been at odds, have become friends in the subsequent world as I've gone on to MSD, actually become an investor behind him in his next venture because he, I do think he's a really…”
Opinion
Investors who made wealth on 2-and-20 refusing standard fees is insane
“The number of people who made their money as investors with a two and 20 model who then start their own family office business and decide not to pay two and 20 is sort of insane to me.”
Opinion
Alternative asset managers increasingly chase AUM over maximizing investment returns
“I've just seen an increasing trend in the alts world of chasing AUM, and people feel like they're getting paid to raise money and deploy it as opposed to invest it.”
Insight
Finance is an apprenticeship business requiring in-person collaboration for better performance
“This is an apprenticeship business in every way. So the more we can be together, the better.”
Insight
Allocators should prioritize managers who produce superior net returns over discounted fees
“Focus on the guy who's going to get you three or four X your money for whatever the fee is, as opposed to the guy who's going to get you two X for a discounted fee.”
Opinion
Lemkau considers Gene Sykes the best M&A banker across multiple generations
“I think is probably the best M&A banker of multiple generations and ended up being a mentor of mine.”
Opinion
Lemkau: Musk's genius and fortitude kept Tesla alive during crisis
“And you forget Tesla's now taken off in such an incredible way, but you forget there were moments there when it was really his genius and fortitude that kept that company alive and let it go on and thrive.”
Insight
Reluctance to give direct, blunt feedback holds managers back the most
“Blunt talk, like giving real direct feedback. It's an amazing skill and a liberating skill, and not many people do it. I think it's actually one of the biggest things holding back people from becoming effective managers.”
Insight
Capital duration allows investors to see through cycles without forced selling
“One of the great advantages I think we've had has been duration of capital, really taking the advantage to see through quarters, see through cycles, but also not be forced to sell because you're looking for Capital return, but being able to hold businesses for…”
Disclosure
Michael Dell plans to donate all his wealth during his lifetime
“At some point in his lifetime or shortly thereafter, his plan is to give all his money away and doesn't want that to cripple the firm.”
Insight
Leveraged co-investment forces managers to prioritize downside protection
“If you've got investors with leverage, they're focused on not losing money, number one. The leverage works both ways, and they're focused on really compounding wealth over the long term”
Disclosure
MSD spun out its last public strategy to focus on differentiated edge
“From a public market standpoint, when I got here, we spun out our last public market strategy, really great investor, good business. We actually took a stake in his GP and gave him a bunch of capital, but it just, in the theme of where are we differentiated an…”
Disclosure
BDT and MSD's merger governance has no formal tiebreaker voting mechanism
“And it was fascinating as we were putting together the governance around the deal, everyone said, well, what happens if you guys don't agree?
We're like, we're going to agree.
Well, what if you don't?
We'll go in a room till we agree.
Maybe we'll ask Michael's…”
Assertion Supported
BDT Partners advised the Patagonia family on their historic ownership restructuring
“BDT advised the Patagonia family on this recent thing they did, which is in the news.”
Opinion
Technology founders are personally underserved by financial advisors for wealth diversification
“I think these founders themselves have been underserved in terms of advice. Their companies have been well served, but I think the founders themselves know how to think about wealth diversification, and deployment of capital, and philanthropy, and all the issu…”
Disclosure
BDT and MSD will avoid public mega-mergers and league table M&A advisory
“We're not going to go try to do big, massive public company merger. That's, we're not in the league table M&A business. We're in the, how do you provide trusted advice to families and founders?”
Insight
Playing four hours of golf reveals a person's temperament and ethics
“One, it teaches you someone's temperament because everyone hits a bad golf shot, so you see how they are. Two, it teaches you how they treat other people. How someone treats a caddy is very interesting and insightful. It's like how they treat a waiter. And thr…”
Insight
Investing businesses require strategic step-backs, unlike advisory market-share mindsets
“The classic investment banker mindset is do everything for anybody all the time, right? Solve their problems. Do more. There's an extra five minutes in the day. I can get one more client and actually trying to pull back from that natural temptation of being in…”
Insight
Compounding capital yields meaningfully different outcomes compared to maximizing pre-tax income
“Compounding capital can make a lot of difference. You spend your life in a world of maximizing pre-tax income, and you go to a world of actually compounding capital, if you think about it from an investment standpoint, and it's meaningfully different.”
Assertion Supported
Lemkau, Robert Smith, and Mark McMorris launched Goldman's West Coast tech M&A
“It was a guy named Mark McMorris, who went on to go work at General Atlantic for a long time, and then Robert Smith, who eventually went on to go found Vista Equity, and me, the three of us went out there, all the same associate class, like three musketeers st…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
MSD employees are the largest investor across MSD funds outside the Dells
“Outside of the Dell family, if you look at the partners and employees of the firm, we are the biggest investor across all our funds”
Disclosure
MSD's first growth equity investments included Stripe, Fanatics, and Airtable
“Our first investment was in Stripe. We've invested in companies like Fanatics and Goodleap and Airtable and Service Titan.”
Assertion Supported
Michael Dell holds massive concentrated public equity exposure to Dell and VMware
“So he's got huge exposure to two big single stock positions. It was one with Dell. They then spun off VMware, which has announced it's merging with Broadcom, but really big public market exposure there.”
Assertion Supported
BDT Partners is raising a private equity fund exceeding $10 billion
“You get real scale and private equity that are in the process of raising a significant fund, ten billion dollar plus fund, that'll go alongside our similarly scaled credit and real estate businesses.”
Disclosure
MSD aligns investor team wealth with carry rather than management fee generation
“Now, the vast majority of my investing teams here of the potential wealth creation is around their economics in the carry and their co-invest.
So that's what I still want.
I still want them focused on that as opposed to focus on generating fees.”
Disclosure
MSD tested BDT partnership by raising hospitality capital from BDT's LPs
“We'd created this hospitality vehicle with all of our High-end hotels, and stuck them in a permanent vehicle, and then raised capital into it, and we actually used BDT to raise that capital from their LP base, because we wanted to see their investors like our …”
Disclosure
Legacy MSD Capital will be renamed Dell Family Office to avoid confusion
“So as part of the combination, we'll still peel out and have, I think the old legacy MSD capital, which we're going to rename Dell family office to avoid any brand confusion, but there'll still be investments that don't make sense in the funds.”
Insight
Persisting with hostile clients during financial crises builds enduring relationships
“Those early days of the financial crisis were scary, but it also ended up being incredibly character building because you go out there while you're probably the pariah to society and you go and build relationships with clients who are predisposed to not want t…”
Assertion Supported
MSD was founded in 1998 to diversify Michael Dell's concentrated wealth
“MSD started in 1998 as pure family office. It was diversify Dell family wealth away from Dell at the time. And it was started by two folks named John Phelan and Glenn Furman, who for 20 plus years ran it together.”