why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Miah: African equities outperformed other emerging markets in 2022
“Post-nineteen there was COVID, a lot of noise, but definitely this year is the first year in many that you've had outperformance by Africa. And very importantly to us, the bottom line continues to grow. The jaws are widening, but the bottom line continues to g…”
Assertion Partly supported
Miah: Private equity firms are taking African public companies private at 4x earnings
“We've seen private equity firms coming to the public markets, and Picking off the best jewels, which are trading at four times P, five times P and taking them private. So we have seen that materialize over the last few years in Africa.”
Assertion Supported
Miah: In late 2022, several African countries had lower inflation than the US and UK
“Some of our countries have inflation levels lower than the U.S. And the U.K., which I can't remember the last time that was the case.”
Assertion Supported
Miah: Saudi Arabia and UAE show Africa's path to mainstream benchmarks
“In oh nine, Saudi where I lived and even Dubai, Abu Dhabi were Very much similar to Africa. Off benchmark. No one's really focusing on those areas. And fast forward 10 years, all of those markets became upgraded into the EM benchmark. Saudi Aramco got listed. …”
Assertion Supported
Miah: African equities generated a 7% to 9% USD CAGR from 2002 to 2020
“Between 2002 and 2020 the two decades overall, despite the last five years being quite difficult, it's been a reasonable period. So the market as a whole, if you just took the beta, the two 50 names that we're looking at, And the market grew at seven, eight, n…”
Assertion Supported
Miah: The African investable equity universe totals $500 billion across 260 companies
“The opportunity set, so when we exclude small caps and we exclude commodities, Today, there's around 260 names. In the early 2002, there's about a hundred names. So in terms of names, not significant growth, but when you look at market cap, more importantly, p…”
Assertion Partly supported
Miah: MTN Nigeria holds over 50% telecom market share in Nigeria
“So they're the, by far the most dominant telecom player in Nigeria, 50% and above market share.”
Assertion Supported
Miah: Africa is a $3T economy, equivalent to the world's eighth largest
“Africa as a whole, it's a three trillion dollar economy, eighth largest equivalent economy in the world, one and a half billion people”
Assertion Supported
Miah: South African equities are institutional, while North and East Africa are family-owned
“So South Africa would be a more typical US or UK style shareholder list. So often the pension funds are the largest, the big asset management firms are also in the top three, top five, top seven. It's a very institutional heavy shareholder list. Whereas when y…”