why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dixon: Web3 payouts will pass Web2 payouts in next couple years
“I believe we'll see in the next couple of years, web three payouts past web two payouts.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: No top App Store apps were created in the last decade
“Go look at the top apps in the app store. And none of those services were created in the last 10 years.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: Multi-vertical Silicon Valley VCs made basically no crypto investments in two years
“There's basically no Silicon Valley investment in the last two years from multi vertical VCs.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: Tech and media are the United States' two main exports
“We basically have two exports in the U S right now. We have tech and media. Just look at the numbers. Those are the two killer products that we have.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram pay zero ad revenue to creators
“Twitter and Facebook have zero dollar revenue share. Instagram is zero dollars. So Instagram makes all their money on advertising. They pay zero out to the creators.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: OpenSea paid out around $5B to creators last year
“We're investors in OpenSea, which is an NFT platform. We put a report out recently where we calculated how much OpenSea had paid out to creative people. And it was something on the order of five billion dollars last year with a B”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: a16z invested in all 15 Coinbase funding rounds pre-IPO
“So Coinbase, as an example, I was on the board and we invested in but they did 15 rounds of financing before they went public and we invested in every single one of them.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: Symantec was the world's largest subscription business around 2007
“I think at the time, Symantec was the biggest subscription business in the world. Like, it had a hundred and something million subscribers, which back then was The record.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dixon: Bill Gates's 1995 book 'The Road Ahead' omitted 'World Wide Web'
“The original version of Bill Gates's Road Ahead came out in 1995. It was talking about the future of computing and the word worldwide web did not occur in that book.”