why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McGurk: Nuclear risk will rise as arms control erodes and China expands
“There's increasing nuclear risk. We're entering a world of all the guardrails of arms control are eroding. If you project ahead, 1015 years, particularly as the Chinese built up their arsenal.”
Assertion Partly supported
McGurk: Israel Eliminated All Iranian Air Defenses in October Counterstrike
“The Israelis responded by taking out all of Iran's air defenses last October, which set the stage to what happened this past June.”
Insight
McGurk: Autocrats exploit US election cycles to outlast diplomatic pressure
“You're gonna have a new president in four years, you have a new administration, totally new policies. Whether I like them or don't like them, we're staying the course. That's how Xi Jinping thinks. That's how Putin thinks. That's how a lot of leaders around th…”
Opinion
McGurk: Core US Foreign Policy Interests Remain Within Bipartisan Agreement
“Our interests still are, generally speaking, within a zone of agreement between both parties of whatever comes into office.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McGurk: IMEC corridor will remain the regional priority post-Gaza crisis
“Once we emerge from this horrific Gaza crisis, That agenda is very much the direction of travel. I hear it on almost every capital. That's where they want to head.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
McGurk: Raising Middle East capital is difficult as region prioritizes domestic jobs
“It's not the easiest environment to raise capital right now. They are looking for opportunities that benefit themselves domestically as they're looking ahead with a young population, trying to create jobs, particularly in Saudi Arabia.”