why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Partly held up
Rodman: Rosatom's Exclusion From the West Will Create a Massive Fuel Deficit
“They're close to 50% of the market, and over time, they'll be cut out of western markets, in our opinion, which will create a very big deficit.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rodman: There Has Never Been a Stored Nuclear Waste Accident in History
“There has never been an accident with nuclear waste in the history.”
Prediction Held up
Rodman: Uranium enrichers will shift from suppliers to net buyers
“What the market hasn't fully digested yet, because this market moves in slow motion, is that on a go forward basis, you probably aren't going to get supply from enrichers, and it's very likely that you actually have demand from enrichers, which is a process th…”
Assertion Partly supported
Rodman: Advanced Nuclear Reactors Feature Meltdown-Proof Fuels and Passive Safety
“Advanced designs have walk away passive safety features, in some cases have cores that can't melt down, fuel that cannot melt down. They have lower waste profiles. Proliferation risk is reduced.”
Prediction Held up
Rodman: Uranium at $50 is not a balancing price and will rise
“It's around 50 dollars now. It's still not a balancing price. We still think there's quite a bit to go”
Assertion Supported
Rodman: Lifetime Nuclear Power Leaves Half a Soda Can of Waste
“For all the electricity used and power they used, I think half a Coke can is about how much uranium
Waste you'd have left over, whereas you'd probably have your whole yard stacked up five stories of coal.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rodman: All US Nuclear Waste Ever Accumulated Fits on One Football Field
“In the United States, all the nuclear waste we've ever accumulated, you know, over the last
Can fit on a football field 10 feet.”
Assertion Supported
Rodman: Chinese nuclear reactors are built on Westinghouse designs
“In certain cases, the Chinese who are building scalable, inexpensive reactors built on the Westinghouse design”
Assertion Supported
Rodman: Kazakhstan Mines 40% of Global Uranium While Russia Only Mines 5%
“Russia does not do much direct ethereal-weight mining. They're maybe five percent global supply or so. But Kazakhstan, fully independent neighboring country, former satellite, is 40%.”
Assertion Supported
Rodman: Fuel Is 15% of Nuclear Plant Costs vs. 80% for Gas
“Fuel costs are a relatively small percentage of operating a plant. People who don't know nuclear economics that well maybe assume that light coal or gas plant feedstock is 80% of running. It's flipped on its head for a nuclear reactor. It's all Upfront, CapEx,…”
Assertion Supported
Rodman: Uranium Miners Make Up the Vast Majority of Public Nuclear Plays
“The public markets are mostly dominated by fuel cycle plays and a fuel cycle plays. Uranium miners are vast majority of the opportunity set.”
Assertion Supported
Rodman: Nuclear Fuel Processing Begins Two to Four Years Before Reactor Insertion
“Nuclear fuel starts its process two, three, four years before it finds its way into a reactor.”
Assertion Supported
Rodman: Uranium Miners Shrank From 450 to 30 Between Market Cycles
“Where famously there were probably some 450 uranium miners or so in the last cycle, we launched our fund, it was down to 30 or so, the rest had gone away.”