The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Forman: Stablecoins Settled $27 Trillion in 2024, Double Visa's Annual Volume
“If you look at stablecoins today, they're a two hundred and thirty billion dollar market. Those two hundred and thirty billion dollars rotate on chain to the tune of about 27 trillion dollars last year in 2024, which was greater than Visa's total settlement vo…”
Ben Forman Apr 21, 2025 ▶ 16:45 Ben Forman – Unlocking Blockchain's Potential (EP.441)
Opinion
Tian: Visa's economic moat trajectory is narrowing and growth is stalling.
“My personal opinion, which doesn't necessarily reflect the views of WCM as it were, is that the trajectory is narrowing here. The story is getting tougher to believe in today than it was, say, three, four years ago.”
Mike Tian Sep 6, 2021 ▶ 19:27 Mike Tian – Moat Trajectories and Investing in China at WCM (Capital Allocators, EP.212)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Falbe: Visa, MasterCard, MarketAxess, and Tradeweb have 30-year protected growth moats
“So you think of like Visa or a MasterCard or Market access or trade web or something. These companies are, it's gonna be 30 years where they're gonna continue growing, and that growth, it's all inside the moat.”
Jim Falbe Jun 8, 2023 ▶ 34:58 Jim Falbe – Modern Value Investing at Saguaro (Capital Allocators, EP.320)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moodgal: Raised $800M Over a Single Weekend for TCI's Visa Bet
“I'm going to Asia, Chris calls me, I land in Hong Kong, calls me on a Thursday night, and says, I need eight hundred million by Monday. Ok, fine. So I go to sleep, I wake up Friday morning, I sit on the phone, and raise eight hundred million bucks, call him, a…”
Rahul Moodgal Feb 18, 2019 ▶ 28:16 Rahul Moodgal - Master Fund Raiser (Capital Allocators, EP.87)
Assertion Supported
Anchorage Digital became the first federally chartered bank to custody an NFT
“So there's a federally chartered bank custodying an NFT, the first digital asset, the first bank ever to have this type of custody of a digital asset, which is kind of cool.”
Diogo Monica Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 48:17 Diogo Monica – Securing Crypto at Anchorage Digital (EP.259, Crypto for Institutions 2, EP.06)
Insight
McKeon: NFTs represent the purest form of e-commerce ever conceived
“NFTs are the purest form of e-commerce ever conceived. My friend Kai Sheffield used that phrase, who's the head of crypto at Visa. There's no supply chain. There's no logistics. It's literally straight from the creator to the consumer.”
Stephen McKeon Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 52:35 Stephen McKeon – NFTs and the Consumer in Web3 (EP.255, Crypto for Institutions 2, EP.02)
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