The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2026
Vanguard private equity will outperform public equity by 200-500 basis points
“We feel confident that this private equity offer will outperform public equity, whether it's two, three, four, 500 basis points.”
Fran Kinniry Jan 18, 2021 ▶ 34:52 Fran Kinniry – The Comfort of Paradox at Vanguard Group (Capital Allocators, EP.173)
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Dec 2022
Vanguard trained executives to answer customer phones during market panics
“Everybody in management Including Bogle and Brennan and most of the others, got trained, and it took a couple of days of time for each person to get trained on how to answer the phones and how to do the job. So if there was a problem all of a sudden in the mar…”
Charlie Ellis Dec 12, 2022 ▶ 47:04 Charley Ellis - Figuring Out Investing and Vanguard (Capital Allocators, EP.286)
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