The Ledger
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why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Jain: Over half of hyperscaler backlog stems from OpenAI and Anthropic
“Now we're getting more clarity that more than half of the backlog, hence probably the revenue too,
Is coming from basically anthropic slash open AI.
If you look at Google and Microsoft is more than half open AI.
Amazon is more than half.
So they invest with op…”
Sacca: GPT-5 will train in 2023 and be 6-8x better than GPT-4
“GPT five will be trained this year, and it'll be six to eight times better than four, maybe, maybe more.”
Chainlink uses OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google models to reach data consensus
“Through our technology, we were able to have the AI models reach consensus on that single piece of data that is the share split 10 to one. OpenAI, yes. Anthropic, yes. Google, yes. We posted that on a blockchain as a unified golden record.”
Wolfe: OpenAI Generates Roughly $13B, 70% from $20/Month Subscribers
“Today, roughly, thirteen billion of revenue at OpenAI. 70% of that revenue is from 20 dollar a month paying subscribers like me.”
Late-stage unicorns run internal tender offers, bypassing external secondary markets
“Series F plus, those are the companies that are more likely to have proper secondary markets that OpenAI, Stripe, and SpaceX, and they will do tenders for their employees, and so it really is few and far between that those deals make their way into our portfol…”