The Ledger

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Prediction Not checkable as stated

Papic: The Ukraine war will cleave the Western alliance further, not unite NATO

“There's a view out there that this will help NATO unity. And I really don't think so, Ted. I think that this will actually cleave the Western alliance further.”

Marko Papic Feb 28, 2022 ▶ 32:59 Marko Papic – Geopolitical Shock in a Multi-Polar World (Capital Allocators, EP.237)

Opinion

Western response to Russia altered near-term risk calculus for Taiwan

“Given the response of the Western allies and NATO to Ukraine and to Russia, perhaps that has maybe changed the calculus a bit as it relates to what's going on in Taiwan.”

Tom Lenehan Apr 18, 2022 ▶ 54:50 Tom Lenehan – Taking the Helm at the Wallace Foundation (Capital Allocators, EP.246)

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