why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Musk tweeted '$420 funding secured' before calling bankers to evaluate buyout
“And Elon put out his infamous tweet around four, 20 funding secured. Then he called the bankers, which was slightly out of order.”
Assertion Partly supported
Reynolds: In May 1997, Santa Fe's $1B IPO overshadowed Amazon's debut
“We had just taken public Santa Fe drilling, which was a billion dollar IPO that Goldman Sachs was the lead manager of. Two weeks prior, Amazon had gone public. No one paid attention to Amazon in May of 97. Everybody paid attention to Santa Fe.”
Assertion Supported
Brosens: Mark Winkelman left Goldman Sachs in 1994 after political leadership battle
“Unfortunately, at the end of 94, he ended up Effectively losing a political battle to run the firm and left at the end of that year.”
Assertion Supported
Late-1990s private equity firms overlooked enterprise software for chips
“And I realized that none of them, like any in that period of time, none of them are really thinking about software as an area of investment. Some may have had one or two software investments, but they were thinking about technology broadly, and at that time, t…”
Assertion Supported
Kraus: Goldman Sachs partners received equal compensation across different specialties
“What was really curious to me about Goldman Sachs was, Goldman Sachs allowed people to specialize, and they compensated the different specialties equally. So at the partnership level, I mean, if you became a partner, you could be a corporate finance specialist…”
Assertion Supported
Canadian pension governance structures insulate compensation from political control
“The Canadians really set up the model so they're paying market wages. They may not be able to pay as much as Goldman Sachs in Toronto, but they're pretty darn close. They also set it up so that pay doesn't, it's not one year thing, it's three or five year thin…”
Assertion Partly supported
Reynolds: Institutional PE/VC allocations grew from under 1% to 5-10%
“The exposure to Private equity and venture capital for most institutional investors when I started there was probably less than one percent on average, and by the time I left it was probably five or 10, so you can imagine the growth and the transformation that…”
Assertion Partly supported
Green: Eastern Advisors bought Goldman Sachs's Alibaba stake in 2004
“We were early investors in Alibaba. We bought out Goldman Steak in in 2004 when I launched the fund.”
Assertion Supported
Mullen: David Solomon was hired from his team before recruiting him to Goldman
“That person they'd hired away from me was David Solomon, and so David Solomon was recruiting me.”
Assertion Supported
Steyer: Goldman Sachs had zero China staff and two in Hong Kong in 1983-1985
“Goldman Sachs, which was, as I said, I think the premier investment bank in the world, when I worked there in 1983 to 1985, had zero people in China and two people in Hong Kong.”
Assertion Supported
Lemkau, Robert Smith, and Mark McMorris launched Goldman's West Coast tech M&A
“It was a guy named Mark McMorris, who went on to go work at General Atlantic for a long time, and then Robert Smith, who eventually went on to go found Vista Equity, and me, the three of us went out there, all the same associate class, like three musketeers st…”
Assertion Supported
Baumgartner: 2014–2018 equity returns doubled consensus forecasts while volatility halved
“Back in 2013, 20 14, you've got bears projecting low returns... You've got folks like Goldman and JP Morgan, and the folks who publish capital market expectations, and you see, eh, equities, seven percent annualized return, 15% vol... Now, you fast forward fiv…”
Assertion Partly supported
Goldman Sachs did not distribute research notes to clients until 1964
“In fact, Goldman Sachs didn't start sending things out until 64 or five, and that was just one of the salesmen thought it might be an interesting idea to put Four sides of sheet of paper. Little information on four different possible investments. He was doing …”
Assertion Supported
Lydon: Smart beta fees are down to nine bps at Goldman
“You can get a smart beta strategy at Goldman for nine basis points. You have pure beta strategies now for four.”
Assertion Supported
Goldman Sachs employs 12,000 software developers, per Auby
“I heard a statistic saying they have 12,000 developers now at Goldman, which is just an astronomical number if you think about that”
Assertion Contradicted
Davis: There were no utility bankruptcies for 20 years before Enron and PG&E
“So, you know, at that point, I don't think there'd been a utility bankruptcy in two decades and lo and behold, We had Enron. And then we had Pacific Gas and Electric the first time around.”