why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Papa: Product Pricing Databases Require Three-Click Search for Monetization
“The only way you could monetize such a database is if someone could find something within three clicks. If they had to spend a lot of time looking for that pricing information, they weren't going to use it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Papa: SAP Invested in Endeca but Refused to Discuss Acquiring It
“One of them was SAP. They were an investor in the company, and I couldn't get their corporate development team to even talk to us.”
What-if
Papa: Reframing Endeca as e-commerce sooner could have rivaled Shopify
“If I had framed the world as e-commerce sooner, we probably would have had a much longer runway as an independent company. We would have at least had a chance to enter the world of Shopify, but we didn't.”
Opinion
Papa: Acquiring Endeca Made Oracle the Dominant On-Prem E-Commerce Vendor Overnight
“They basically overnight went from competing for every deal with IBM to suddenly being the dominant on-prem e-commerce company.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Papa: Endeca's Founding Was the Birth of Modern Faceted Search
“And that was the birth of guided navigation or faceted search, which is everywhere on the internet today. You use it all the time and you don't even realize it.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Papa: IBM spent $20M on Endeca software it couldn't build internally
“They spent twenty million dollars on us over the years and were using us for very important internal applications that they could not power with their own software.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Toast had only two VC firms competing to invest in fall 2015
“In fact, the only two firms that were competing to back it at a reasonable valuation were my two lead investors at Indeca that fall.”
Disclosure
Papa: Endeca was down to under two months of cash in August 2001
“By the time we got to August, 2001, we had less than two months cash left.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Papa: Oracle Finalized the $1.1B Endeca Deal in Six Weeks
“From first email to announcement with Oracle was six weeks, a testament to how fast Oracle can align their teams and make something happen.”
Assertion Partly supported
Papa: Endeca counted half of the top 100 e-commerce sites as customers
“We had half of the top 100 e-commerce sites.”
Disclosure
Papa: Endeca reached a $2M Q4 2001 after near-zero revenue that year
“The other thing to note here is we went from having no revenue all year, or virtually none, because we had one customer from the year before, to doing a two million dollar quarter in Q-IV, which was a very strong quarter.”
Disclosure
Papa: Endeca could have exited to Amazon around 2005
“There were two other moments we could have exited the business. One was around 2005 where Amazon was very attracted to what we were doing.”