why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Csicsko: Public equities have vastly outperformed broad private markets recently
“You pair that with a public market that's vastly outperformed, the broad private market measured on, say, a Cambridge index level, and it's causing most people I know to have very difficult conversations around what is the future path of private allocation in …”
Assertion Supported
Cambridge Associates Study: Over Half of Top Venture Funds Are Funds I-III
“Hambridge Associates did a study, and they looked at post-two thousand venture funds. The cohort of top 10 funds in each vintage year, typically more than half were funds with a Roman numeral lower than Roman numeral three.”
Assertion Supported
MacDonald: Mean PE returns without fee and carry reach top-quartile performance
“If you take the mean return in most vintage years from a Cambridge associate and you back out fee and carry, that's top quartile.”
Assertion Contradicted
Druley: Cambridge Associates holds up to 60% of endowment advisory market
“So on the endowment and foundation side, as I think probably most of our listeners know today, we have significant market share. In most cases, we're 50, 60% of the market.”
Assertion Partly supported
Druley: No firm holds over 2% market share in private client advisory
“And then private client side is just very fragmented. No one has more than two percent of the market.”
Prediction Held up
The OCIO industry and its service models will consolidate by 2028
“If we looked up five, 10 years, I'd say we're in the early innings in the sense of there will be consolidation in the industry. And there also, there will be a consolidation of models, you know, in terms of, you know, what clients want in terms of their OCIO p…”
Assertion Supported
Ma: Industry operators and family offices launch dedicated climate funds
“We're actually also seeing some, especially on the private side, some operationally focused managers who have spun out of industry, of strategics, and even some family offices who have been very active in certain areas like environmental sustainability and cle…”
Assertion Supported
Carnegie Mellon transitioned its endowment from Cambridge Associates to internal staff
“It was a great opportunity because they wanted to move the program from consultant-centric to staff-centric. So we were relying on Cambridge. We moved away from them. I hired Chuck Kennedy, who is now the current CIO at CMU, as my number two, and we built out …”