Assertion Supported AI assessment confidence: 90% certainty 4/5 debate potential 2/5

Smith: Africa consistently accounts for half of the world's fastest-growing economies

Colin Smith · Colin Smith and Farouk Miah - Empty Rooms: Investing in Africa (Capital Allocators, EP. 279) · Nov 7, 2022 · at 22:44

Colin Smith, partner at All Africa Partners, discusses macroeconomic growth drivers across African markets with host Ted Seides.

0:00 / 0:10exact quote · 10.6s
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“If you look at the top 10 or top 20 fastest growing economies in the world, Africa always makes up Half of those, and has done for many years, and is expected to continue to do so.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Colin Smith

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: Deglobalization will make African markets even less correlated with the US
“The world is not necessarily integrating any further at the moment. If anything, people are taking a bit of a step back, and we think that's going to make places like Africa even less correlated with the U.S. Markets”
Colin Smith Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 38:58 Colin Smith and Farouk Miah - Empty Rooms: Investing in Africa (Capital Allocators, EP. 279)
Disclosure
Smith: All Africa Partners avoids Zimbabwe over currency repatriation and liquidity risks
“In terms of picking countries, I mentioned we didn't invest in Zimbabwe at the moment, and that's really on the basis of liquidity. Because we're investing in listed markets, and we promise to give money back to our investors if they ask for it back, we need t…”
Colin Smith Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 14:10 Colin Smith and Farouk Miah - Empty Rooms: Investing in Africa (Capital Allocators, EP. 279)
Assertion Contradicted
Smith: Kenya's Equity Group compounded dollar EPS at 20% annually for 20 years
“It started as a listed entity around 20 years ago, and since then it has grown its dollar EPS by over 20% per annum.”
Colin Smith Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 14:57 Colin Smith and Farouk Miah - Empty Rooms: Investing in Africa (Capital Allocators, EP. 279)
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2100
Smith: By 2100, four in every ten people worldwide will be African
“By the end of the century, that's going to be 40%. By the end of the century, four in every 10 people are going to be African, and the urbanization story that goes along with that is absolutely colossal.”
Colin Smith Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 22:59 Colin Smith and Farouk Miah - Empty Rooms: Investing in Africa (Capital Allocators, EP. 279)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith: IFRS accounting is standard across all 20 African stock exchanges we trade
“In all 20 of the exchanges that we invest in, IFRS is standard and required.”
Colin Smith Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 30:47 Colin Smith and Farouk Miah - Empty Rooms: Investing in Africa (Capital Allocators, EP. 279)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith: Our portfolio would gain 50% just by re-rating to historical median valuations
“If our portfolio today, just re-rated to their own historic valuations, would be up over 50%. In dollar terms.”
Colin Smith Nov 7, 2022 ▶ 33:56 Colin Smith and Farouk Miah - Empty Rooms: Investing in Africa (Capital Allocators, EP. 279)
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