Colin Campbell of Bain Capital breaks down trading volumes for California Carbon Allowances and related futures contracts.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Environmental commodity markets will face shortages and price inflections by mid-2020s
“And in the window of time we're in now, sort of mid decade, 20 twenties, we are likely to be flipping into an environment where we're going to be in shortage of many of these instruments. And that's likely to cause a significant price inflection.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Campbell: Compliance carbon prices will rise as permit shortages manifest
“So we see the size of these markets and the compliance side growing the volumes of actual permits come down over time, but we believe price will be growing as the shortages that we expect to take place. Start to manifest themselves in different markets.”
Opinion
Campbell: Investors must be wary of unstructured voluntary carbon markets
“So what we have seen is a very, very disparate set of opportunities in the voluntary markets, many of which are interesting, but many of which are also not interesting, both as actually doing good in the world, as well as an investment opportunities. And like …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Campbell: Negative press will not derail voluntary carbon market trend
“And the negative news you would think is probably going to make the end users just take more time in assessing what to do and may slow down some of them from pulling triggers quickly. I don't think it significantly alters the secular theme or the trend that's …”
Opinion
Campbell: Environmental markets lack institutional capital to reach fair value
“More recently, we've come across environmental markets in the last five years, which we think is another example of one of these nascent markets where there is not significant capital yet and move those markets to what we think is, is fair value as an example.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Oil companies' resistance to compliance carbon programs has sharply declined
“And while there was resistance, 10 and 15 and 20 years ago, you know, where you would see oil companies lobbying against these sorts of programs, what you've seen in the last half decade is More and more of them see the writing on the wall. They realize we're …”