Assertion Supported AI assessment confidence: 95% certainty 4/5 debate potential 1/5

Duke: Harvard Study Showed Hand-Raising Artificially Created Supermajorities

Annie Duke · Annie Duke – How to Decide (Capital Allocators, EP.156) · Sep 14, 2020 · at 1:07:00

Annie Duke cites research by Harvard professors Richard Zeckhauser and Dan Levy examining how public versus private voting mechanisms affect group consensus.

0:00 / 0:33exact quote · 33.6s
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“What they found with the group that was raising their hands in class was that super majorities formed very quickly. In other words, consensus formed. Once people sort of saw consensus start to form, people were sort of going with the consensus. I think partly because one of the ways that we feel that we belong to a group is we want things, our beliefs to be certified, and some of that is sort of certified by other people, and we want to be in the majority, and that all feels good to us because of our tribal nature. But when they had people answer by clicker, this is private, the super majorities just broke up. You didn't see these super majorities forming.”

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