Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital Management discusses the market crash of the 'Nifty 50' blue-chip equity bubble after he started working at First National City Bank in September 1969.
Opinion
Howard Marks: SEC doesn't scrutinize private credit valuations and LPs prefer it
“And by the way, the SEC doesn't look at these things, because these are private investments, so they don't require accuracy. And the investors in the fund are mostly happy without accuracy, because as I said, they don't have to report problems to their higher …”
Opinion
Marks: Private credit is no longer special and is now fairly priced
“And I would say that the aspect of being undiscovered and unloved is over. It's a reasonable thing to do if you do it carefully, but I don't think it's a special strategy. It's just fairly priced.”
Insight
Marks: Private credit draws down less because valuations ignore market psychology
“Private credit and other private assets do not mark to market in the sense of reflecting the swings of psychology. When you go through a tough period and high yield bonds are down 10% and private credits down two percent, I think that's the explanation.”
Insight
Howard Marks: Private credit managers like avoiding mark-to-market accounting during downturns
“The people who run these funds Pretty much like the fact that they don't mark the market, because then in the bad times when the headlines in the papers are so negative, they don't have to go to the treasurer of the organization and say, we're down 10%. They c…”
Insight
Marks: Leveraged buyout math breaks down when borrowing costs hit 10%
“In the 20 teens, you could borrow money at six percent to do private equity deals. Now you have to pay it probably a nine to 10. Well, if you're going to buy a company and make 10 or 11% a year, you have to pay nine to 10% for the money, then a leveraged acqui…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030
Marks: The post-2022 higher interest rate regime is structural and long-lasting
“I wrote a memo in December, 22, called The Sea Change, and it talked about the change in the interest rate climate, which I think is structural and long-lasting.”