Todd Simkin, Associate Director at Susquehanna International Group (SIG), contrasts the structural constraints of external hedge fund platforms with proprietary trading firms operating without outside LP capital.
0:00 / 0:17exact quote · 17.7s
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“One of the problems with hedge funds is that they have to frequently manage to Not just quarterly reports, but monthly reports, or even weekly and daily reports. So they've got to show that they're staying with the strategy that they have outlined for their investors, and that they're showing regular returns.”
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“But that does not mean because of the asymmetries that venture capital is a winning business because you've got this unlimited upside, or that insurance is a losing business because you've got this unlimited downside. Ultimately, what it comes down to is appro…”
Todd SimkinAug 5, 2024▶ 32:45Todd Simkin - Game of Trading at Susquehanna (EP.399)
Insight
Simkin: Black-Scholes wrongly assumes stock distributions are right-skewed, not left-skewed
“The Black-Scholes model, which is literally Nobel Prize winning math, this is amazing stuff, has assumptions built into it that we know are just wrong. Among the assumptions that are built in is a normal distribution of stock returns, which would lead to a log…”
Todd SimkinAug 5, 2024▶ 46:25Todd Simkin - Game of Trading at Susquehanna (EP.399)
Insight
Simkin: Traders are made, not born, and can be taught
“That they had the firm belief that traders are Made, not born. So it's not the case that you have to find somebody who is inherently a trader, and then you just put them in the right spot, and they go. Instead, they said, if you bring us any smart person, if y…”
Todd SimkinAug 5, 2024▶ 12:09Todd Simkin - Game of Trading at Susquehanna (EP.399)
Insight
Simkin: Susquehanna refuses to lock in profits while expected value is positive
“At Susquehanna, we'd say, no, if anything, if we're able to buy more at 19, and we still think it's worth 20, then we would. The fact that we got to buy it for 10 is great, sort of confirmed now by the fact that someone's willing to pay 19, but that doesn't me…”
Todd SimkinAug 5, 2024▶ 43:22Todd Simkin - Game of Trading at Susquehanna (EP.399)
Disclosure
Simkin: SIG backed ByteDance for diversification, not foreseeing TikTok's global dominance
“I alluded to being fortunate enough to invest in ByteDance when it was a several million dollar company before it became a several billion dollar company. It'd be great in hindsight to say we are so good at figuring out what social media platform is going to b…”
Todd SimkinAug 5, 2024▶ 49:00Todd Simkin - Game of Trading at Susquehanna (EP.399)
What-if
Simkin: A five-year fund structure would have forced SIG out of ByteDance
“If we had entered our ByteDance position, and it was in a fund where the investors needed to get paid back in five years, we would have closed out of that position and made a little bit. It would have been happy day in the office, and we would have been out of…”
Todd SimkinAug 5, 2024▶ 53:45Todd Simkin - Game of Trading at Susquehanna (EP.399)
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